The second day of the Glorious Goodwood festival takes place on Wednesday with the big race on the card being the Sussex Stakes. We are not betting in that race but having scoured the undercard we have found plenty of bets we do like over the course of the day. Find out bets and previews below.
3.35 Goodwood: Sussex Stakes
Like the Goodwood Cup on Day 1, the Sussex Stakes looks set to be contested by 7 runners with So Beloved likely to be a non runner. The favourite will be Without Parole, with Expert Eye just behind him in the market. At the prices, I can’t have either & am struggling to find an alternative with Lightning Spear, Gustav Klimt & Beat The Bank hard to separate. Again, I’ll pass on this.
2.25 Goodwood
Preview
Mark Johnston surely holds the key to this race, saddling 3 of the 11 strong field including the favourite Making Miracles. I fancy his 2nd string, ridden by Silvestre De Sousa, & that is Baileys Excelerate.
Betting
He’s more than double the price which is surprising considering he was just a neck behind his stablemate in the King George V at Royal Ascot. He is now 7lb better off (or 4lb if we take into account Lewis Edmunds’ claim in that Ascot race). That day, the selection was drawn very wide which is not ideal for one that likes to lead & despite finishing 8th that day, he was still in the mix a furlong out having had a nightmare passage where he wasn’t given a good ride. Much better is expected today.
One interesting thing to note from that Ascot race, where Johnston saddled the winner, is that, other than the winner & the selection (who hasn’t been seen since), he had 3 others who fared poorly with the draw. They have all come out & won since, suggesting he targets his very best middle distance handicapper’s at that race. I’m expecting the selection to add to that tally.
The selection looks a good horse in the making when winning well on his previous start, making all & sticking on well under today’s jockey. There’s every chance he’ll be able to make all here too & with one of the very best doing the steering, he represents excellent each way value.
Tips
NON-RUNNER – Back Baileys Excelerate (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 Skybet BOG (⅕ odds 1-4)
Back it here:
4.10 Goodwood
Preview
17 runners & not much form to go on but you can almost back Mark Johnston 2 year olds blind at this meeting. He saddled the winner of this last season with the top class & then unraced Threading, & landed the Vintage Stakes on Day 1 this year with Dark Vision.
Betting
Of the ones with experience, Yourtimeisnow ran well finishing 3rd at HQ but the first of the Johnston horses, Desert Lantern, ran equally as well when a neck 2nd at Ripon over 2 months ago, with the pair pulling almost 20 lengths clear. That looked a decent performance & at double the odds of Yourtimeisnow, I’m happy to side with her especially at this slightly easier track.
With Buick & Doyle taking the rides on the Johnston pair, I don’t think you can back one without the other so I’m also going to back the unraced Parliament House. She’s a half sister to 8 winners & being out of Slade Power & Cadeaux Genereux, she’s every chance of being top class.
Aim Up & Alhakmah from the Hannon yard looks dangers but other than that I don’t feel the race has that much depth. At the prices, I’ll take both of MJs at each way prices.
Tips
Back Desert Lantern (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 7.50 William Hill BOG (⅕ odds 1-3)
Back it here:
Back Parliament House (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 10.00 Paddy Power BOG (⅕ odds 1-4)
5.55 Goodwood
Preview
At the current odds, there are 2 standout candidates in this big field handicap & I just cannot overlook one of them. Medahim is a horse I’ve followed & I’ve long since thought that a mark of 95 is what’s needed to see him get his nose back in front.
Betting
He’s also back in grade &, for the first time, has Ryan Moore doing the steering. He’s raced here, finishing 2nd, 3rd & 4th, and each time was noted as finishing as well as anything having been denied a clear run. With Moore on top, the concerns over finding trouble should be lessened & this easier grade should help too. Other than Royal Ascot (this & last year), he’s been hard to keep out of the frame but by failing to win, his mark has fallen from 100 to 95. All ground comes alike & therefore, despite top weight, he looks a super each way bet to nothing with Skybet paying 6 places.
Tips
WON at 7/1 – Back Medahim (e/w) for a 1.5/10 stake at 6.50 Skybet BOG (⅕ odds 1-6)
Back it here:
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