There are five more matches in the Vitality Blast group stage on Thursday night as the competition heads towards the final week or so of group games and at this stage for those chasing a knockout spot every match is vital.
The Test match is due to begin at some point on Thursday but that doesn’t mean that we will be devoid of a TV game here which is good. There are the usual ways of keeping up to date with the other four fixtures.
It is a big night in the North Group with four of the top five in action on the evening. The leaders Worcestershire get things underway when they play host to Derbyshire who really need a win after dropping a match against Northamptonshire on Wednesday evening. The other match is the Roses clash between third placed Yorkshire and fourth placed Lancashire which is the TV match. Nottinghamshire and Birmingham Bears are still in the running for a quarter final spot and they meet at Edgbaston.
Down in the South Group the top two are not in action so there is a real chance for the likes of Gloucestershire and Surrey to close the gap on the leaders Somerset and enhance their top four prospects at the same time. Gloucestershire play host to Middlesex while Surrey welcome Sussex to the Kia Oval in a big match for both sides.
TV Match Betting
I’m going with a couple in the TV match where I think Lancashire are a touch of value to see off Yorkshire. I don’t think there is a massive amount between these two sides and we saw that in the first meeting between them when Lancashire won by a run. If anything though I do believe Lancashire have the better bowling attack, especially with Adil Rashid and Liam Plunkett missing for Yorkshire. Yorkshire probably have the edge with the bat but I always prefer the side with the better attack. Lancashire have lost their last three but they should have beat Durham on Tuesday, while the defeat to Notts was rain affected and they ran into a monster innings against Leicestershire. I don’t think Lancashire are doing a lot wrong and at 5/4 the value is with them in my eyes.
I took Jordan Clark to be the top Lancashire batsman on Tuesday night but Davies and Lilley had already flown by the time he got to the crease but he looked to be hitting the ball fairly well and so I think he is worth chancing again at the same price. He should come in at five or six and he can belt a long ball so on a small ground as long as nobody above him goes bonkers beforehand he should be able to catch up. He’s worth a punt.
I was going to back Surrey to beat Sussex but the rain in the London area isn’t showing any sign of disappearing any time soon so I think that one is best left alone especially with questionable conditions even if there is any play.
With that in mind I’ll go to the match at Edgbaston where I’m expecting the runs to flow between the Birmingham Bears and Nottinghamshire in a repeat of the 2017 final. The last three first innings at Edgbaston have all contained 220 runs or more due to the short boundaries and I’m expecting no different here. Birmingham usually play on the edge of the square in the group stages and with both batting line ups being full of power and neither bowling attack being particularly strong the willow should be wielded viciously here. Over 339.5 runs looks the way forward.
WON – Back Lancashire to beat Yorkshire for a 4/10 stake at 2.25 with 888sport
Back J.Clark Top Lancashire Batsman for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 with Betfair
Back him here:
Back Birmingham Bears vs Nottinghamshire – Over 339.5 runs for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with Karamba
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