It is the Royal London One Day Cup semi-finals on Sunday with the two spots at Lord’s in a couple of weeks time the reward for the winners of them. Both matches are expected to be played under glorious blue skies so there should be lots to enjoy.
We have one match on the TV on Sunday while the other one will carry a full live stream so there is no need to miss any of the action from the penultimate day of the 50 over domestic competition. We’ll begin the preview with the TV match.
Hampshire vs Lancashire
The winners of the South Group play host to third place in the North Group in the televised semi-final as Hampshire go up against Lancashire for the right to take on either Nottinghamshire or Somerset in the final later in the month.
Hampshire only lost one match in the group stage and powered their way into this semi-final while Lancashire had a hit and miss campaign but held their nerve nicely in the quarter final to secure their spot in this last four clash. I think Hampshire will win this match but they are pretty short so I’m going to go to the side markets for a punt in this one.
We saw yesterday how big the boundaries are at the Ageas Bowl and while there were many more sixes than I expected, there are no Jos Buttler’s or Fakhar Zaman’s teeing off in this match. In fact both sides are fitted out with stroke players rather than bruising biffers and the bowlers on show for both teams are of a decent quality. Given all that I think under 10.5 sixes is the way forward in this one.
I’ll also have a bet on Liam Dawson to top score for the home side at 14/1. This is a crazy price at the best of times let alone when he is in good form and we just saw what the Lancashire new ball pairing can do. If they can reduce Hampshire’s top order like they did the Middlesex one on Friday then someone in the middle order is going to carry the way for the home side. There is no Aiden Markram anymore for Hampshire and Ajinkya Rahane hasn’t linked up with them yet so Dawson will be needed here and at 14/1 I’ll pay to see if he can outscore his teammates.
Nottinghamshire vs Somerset
The other semi-final sees free scoring Nottinghamshire taking on a good quality Somerset side for a place at Lord’s on May 25 in what you would expect to be a pretty high scoring match at Trent Bridge based on the matches there thus far.
This is fast becoming one of the highest scoring grounds in the country and one which isn’t easy to defend unless you have a score in excess of 400. That makes me think that the 11.5 sixes line for this one is all wrong. There were 34 sixes in the first match on this ground this season and 16 in the second one. Even 10 were hit in the third in a match where 214 was a winning score so this is a venue made for six hitting these days.
Somerset just clobbered eight sixes in their win at Worcester so they will contribute to the six hitting while Nottinghamshire are as powerful as side as they come. I don’t envisage this one being played on the middle of the square given all the cricket coming up at Trent Bridge so over 11.5 sixes is very much my punt here.
WON – Back Hampshire vs Lancashire – Under 10.5 sixes for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with William Hill
Back it here:
Back L.Dawson Top Hampshire Batsman for a 1/10 stake at 15.00 with Betfair
Back him here:
WON – Back Nottinghamshire vs Somerset – Over 11.5 sixes for a 5/10 stake at 1.87 with 888sport