A wonderful week in Florida ends with the final of the ATP Miami Open on Sunday as two of the brightest young talents in the game battle it out for their first Masters 1000 title on the Grandstand court at the Hard Rock Stadium.
After a tournament full of shocks and surprises we are left with Jannik Sinner taking on Hubert Hurkacz for the title, but you sense not just the title but to bigger and better things in their entire career.
There are plenty of people who expected Jannik Sinner to make his way to the top of the game and be contending in big tournaments like this. Whether they expected it to happen so soon I’m not so sure but generally for great talents the path to the top is mapped out and it is just how swiftly they navigate it. I would suggest Sinner is ahead of schedule so in many ways this is a free hit for him as these sorts of chances will come along fairly regularly you would imagine.
If you was being critical of Sinner this week it would be that he hasn’t had the toughest draw in the world. He hasn’t had to face anyone in the top 10 in the world to make it through to this final and both the day matches he has played against higher ranked opponents he had to battle hard to come through in three sets. That doesn’t mean that he can’t win here but he’s shortening all the time and might not be the easiest short priced favourite to win on.
In many ways the same sentiments go to Hubert Hurkacz although he has been on the scene for a little longer than Sinner and is probably bang on track with his progression in the game. A win here would open up all the doors and give him the confidence to enjoy a very strong end to 2020. He has this incredible run going in Florida right now having won the Delray Beach Open earlier in the year and now made the final here so you would think he will go into this final very confident.
Unlike Sinner, there can be no arguments that Hurkacz doesn’t deserve his place in this final. In the last four rounds he has beaten top 20 opponents in each of them and in the quarter final and semi-final he has taken care of two men who are among the best in the world right now in Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev. If he has that level of game with him in this final then he is entitle to be very dangerous in the match.
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Head to Head
These two young guns haven’t been on the scene for a while so this will be their first meeting of any kind, although it would be foolish to think it will be their last with these two among the group of players who will be ready to dominate the game when the big three depart the scene.
When this final was finalised I had this down as a 50:50 match with a slight lean for Hubert Hurkacz. I was leaning in his direction for a couple of reasons. The first is that he is clearly hitting the ball well to have overcome the likes of Denis Shapovalov, Milos Raonic, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev and the other thing is he seems to be relishing playing in Florida conditions having won in Delray Beach earlier in the season. He seems to be very comfortable in this part of the world.
I like Sinner and am a big fan and have been since he came onto the circuit but he’s only really played two players of any note this week and rather than outplay them or beat them convincingly, all he has really done is outlast them. Neither Milos Raonic nor Tsitsipas could outlast Hurkacz while the form horse Rublev was blasted away in next to no time. This one might go deep but it still isn’t a whole lot more than a 50:50 in my eyes so the 6/4 on Hurkacz is a little too big.
WON – Back H.Hurkacz to beat J.Sinner for a 3/10 stake at 2.50 with BetVictor
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