The start of Euro 2020 is getting ever closer but before it begins there is just enough time to have a saunter through the many specials markets that have been priced up for things like highest and lowest scoring teams, highest and lowest scoring groups, stages of elimination and much more besides.
I’ve had a good scour of the markets and there are four in which bets catch my eye as we look for a little bit more value to add to our growing outright portfolio. We’ll begin the preview with a look at the highest scoring team market.
Highest Scoring Team
It stands to reason that when you look at this market it is basically the outright market with one or two differences. That is because you would think the winning team will be the one which scores the most goals but it doesn’t necessarily work out that way, because as we saw with Portugal five years ago you can creep through in low scoring games and penalty shootouts which don’t go towards the goal tally.
That means the likes of France, Belgium and England head the betting here but all three are in groups which might be tighter than you might otherwise think, while as I keep highlighting, England have that banana skin of a round of 16 tie threatening them. That means this might be a tournament where a team makes the quarter finals off the back of a couple of high scoring games and delivers the goods. This isn’t a market I’m going to go too mad in but I can’t avoid a cheeky nibble on Turkey at a monster price. If they can find the net against Italy it will justify their improvement in attacking areas and the teams get weaker from there. There is a chance they could have a winnable round of 16 tie on top of that so all of a sudden they look value at 100/1. With Yilmaz leading the line and a good creative core behind him, Turkey might well surprise a few here and are overpriced in this market, especially if they can get to the last eight.
Lowest Scoring Team
The lowest scoring team market is basically the outright market in reverse but there are one or two of the minnows, such as North Macedonia and Hungary, who are going to have a go in this tournament and if they go down they will do so on their terms and fighting. That might mean there is a bit of value to be had in a market where someone won’t find the back of the net or will only do it once.
I’ll take two picks here and they both sit in the game group, a group which I expect will be tight and hopefully their match will be a 0-0 draw! The two sides involved at Slovakia and Poland. I wouldn’t put anyone off Switzerland at a price either but the Turkey defence puts me off there. Instead, Slovakia and Poland are going to come up against two proficient defensive sides in Spain and Sweden and neither are guaranteed to get much change out of either so if the match between themselves is low scoring then one of them will exit the competition and they’ll do so without many goals to their name. You would think Poland are exempt from winning this market but they look heavily reliant on Robert Lewandowski and he hasn’t performed in a tournament yet. They are worth a smaller stake with Slovakia, a side who lack any sort of focal point to their attack, a more confident selection.
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Highest Scoring Group
This is a bit of a different market where we seek the group which will contain the most goals. There are a few groups in this tournament which just look like they will be low scoring and then there are others where you could see goals coming a little more regularly.
I think the goals will largely come in Groups C and D but I’m a little wary of England and Scotland being shackled by expectation in front of home supporters. I’m hoping Scotland and the Czechs prove competent defensively because the bet I like is Group C where the minnows North Macedonia have made no secret of the fact they are going to have a go in this competition, and we saw in Germany what can happen when that happens. I don’t really see a truly competent defensive side in Group C. The Netherlands concede for fun, Austria looked all over the shop against England recently and you can get at Ukraine as well. That should lead to lots of entertaining and high scoring matches so Group C to be the highest scoring one at 4/1 will do me.
Name the Finalists
Finally I’ll have a look at the ‘name the finalists’ market. I’ll do this because I’ve not really got France onside in this tournament because they are no value in the outright market but I do think with their squad they are the most likely winners of the tournament so I’ll use this market to have an interest in them.
Whatever happens in the group stage, assuming France and Portugal both come out of Group F, they can’t meet again before the final so the 33/1 on the final here being a repeat of 2016 is of interest to me. I’ve already highlighted the claims of Portugal in the outright preview and the credentials of France are obvious for all to see. There will be some significant hurdles to overcome for both sides along the way but I would not be surprised at all to see France and Portugal heading up Wembley Way for the final on July 11.
Back Turkey Highest Scoring Team for a 0.5/10 stake at 101.00 with 888sport
Back them here:
Back Slovakia Lowest Scoring Team for a 1/10 stake at 10.00 with Coral
Back Group C Highest Scoring Group for a 2/10 stake at 5.50 with Coral
Back Poland Lowest Scoring Team for a 0.5/10 stake at 26.00 with William Hill
Back them here:
Back France/Portugal – Name the finalists for a 1/10 stake at 34.00 with Bet365