The final day of the Glorious Goodwood meeting takes place down at the Sussex track on Saturday and we have a cracking card to finish off what has been a nice reminder of everything that is good about the sport over the first four days.
We nailed a couple of winners on Friday and having gone through the card we have come up with a couple of bets, one in the big race of the day the Stewards Cup and the other in the consolation race for those who didn’t get in that field.
1.55 Goodwood
Preview
The consolation race for the Stewards Cup looks as competitive as ever, with a couple of recent non runners reducing the field to 26. The draw is a big talking point, as always, but winners can come from anywhere at Goodwood so it probably pays to stick with whatever you fancy. James Ferguson saddles the favourite in the form of First Folio who is 2 from 3 this term including a win in a hot handicap at York last time out. 8lb higher is the main concern in a stronger event. Bickerstaffe is another last time winner but he’s 6lb lower & is only 2lb better off with First Folio for a near 5 length beating at York. Music Society is hard to rule out especially given he’s 8lb well in but 3 seconds in his last 4 is a little offputting for win purposes. Abduction, at a bigger price, is weighted to turn the tables on Music Society for their Pontefract run whilst Power Over Me is bidding to right his wrongs after weighing in light at Epsom on his most recent start.
Betting
With so many in with chances, I’m looking for a bit of value & that comes in the shape of Boundless Power. Since moving from Ireland, he’s been campaigned mainly over the minimum distance but shapes as though a return to this trip will suit. His first 3 starts on turf on these shores were all on soft with form figures of 1-2-1. However, it was his most recent run at Ascot that interests me. He was 5th of 18 that day, just over 2 lengths behind the winner, with the runner up currently heading the market for the Stewards Cup. He was held up & got caught up so had too much ground to make up. When he got into full flow, he picked up well & was closing at the line, looking as though he’d relish an extra furlong. He’s off the same mark, the jockey booking is eyecatching & good or slightly softer ground is ideal for him. Still relatively lightly raced, there’s more to come & he looks a solid each way shout.
Tips
Back Boundless Power (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 13.00 888sport BOG (⅕ odds 1-6)
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3.40 Goodwood
Preview
The main event is the Stewards Cup, again run over the straight 6 furlongs. Another massive field & luck will surely play a part but the market is suggesting there are 3 that might prove tough to beat. Fresh, who was a neck 2nd behind Rohaan in the Wokingham, is just edging favouritism & a 3lb penalty for that Royal Ascot run should be within his range. He’d be more solid in my eyes if the rain came but more importantly, if this was run at Ascot so I’m happy to look elsewhere. Hurricane Ivor was a narrow 2nd at Ascot last time & should also be capable of going close here but despite being successful in France over the trip, he may just prove better over the minimum distance. Great Ambassador is the mount of Buick who is having a brilliant Glorious Goodwood & his form since dropping back in trip puts him in with a superb shout. The minor question mark is that he’d prefer it quicker but if that’s not a hindrance, I’d expect him to prove best of the 3.
Betting
However, Bielsa is the one I want to be on here. I cannot decide whether his draw in 11 is a negative but, if not, I fancy him to go close. He won 4 of his first 5 career starts but it never quite happened for him last year. Following wind surgery over the winter, he’s looked much more his old self this year despite not managing to find the winner’s enclosure. 2nd on reappearance, he then ran a good race when 5th of 18 in a hot York handicap when going off favourite. Over at Haydock next time out, he looked all over the winner but failed by a nose to get the better of Punchbowl Flyer. He reopposes but it was 7lbs better off & should turn the tables easily enough on these terms. Last time out at Royal Ascot, nothing went right. He didn’t get home over 7 furlongs, didn’t particularly settle early & definitely wanted the leaders to go quicker. Despite being handed a good draw, he drifted into the centre of the track whilst the winner hugged the rail. A further negative was the firm ground which he can race on but generally dislikes. Conditions will be very different here & the yard have made a very telling jockey change that might just prove the difference. Off the same mark here, I think he has a great chance to land a massive handicap.
Tips
Back Bielsa (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 Skybet BOG (⅕ odds 1-7)
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