West Indies levelled up what is becoming a really good ODI series with India on Saturday and on Monday they have the chance to move 2-1 up with a match to play when the two teams meet again in Mumbai.
With one match left in the series after this one whoever wins this fourth ODI will be guaranteed a share of the spoils which should make for yet another extremely competitive game of cricket with plenty on the line.
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India
I mentioned prior to the previous match that India have a problem with their middle and lower order and that was highlighted in big neon lights in Pune. India were absolutely cruising 30 overs into their run chase but in truth they got nowhere near chasing down their target and this problem must really be causing some inner angst now.
It is beginning to put so much pressure on their top three or four to deliver. The list of times they haven’t and India have lost tamely is growing rapidly so they will be desperate to find someone who can finish for them. It might be that they stick an all-rounder back in to save their tail looking so long. They have gone well with the ball apart from the second game when they bowled with a bar of soap.
West Indies
Had they held their nerve in Visak the West Indies would be 2-1 up in the series by now and in complete control of it. They weren’t able to do that but they still retain some sort of stranglehold on the series even if only in terms of positive confidence from the last two matches. A repeat of those performances could well see them claim a share of the series here.
West Indies now know if they are going to come out on top in this series they must control the Indian top three. They did that brilliantly well in Pune and if they can do that again here they will give themselves every chance. Their strength with the bat comes in the exact same area that India are weak in so this is becoming a good match up for the tourists.
Team News
Kedar Jadhav is back having recovered from the injury he picked up during the Asia Cup. He should slot straight into the middle order with Rishabh Pant potentially the most likely to make way unless MS Dhoni’s T20 absence extends to this format too.
West Indies don’t need to change a winning combination and unless the conditions dictate that the extra spinner is not needed we can expect them to name the same side that got them back in the series last time out.
Brabourne Stadium
This match has been moved from the Wankhede Stadium to the Brabourne Stadium, which will be hosting its first ODI since 2006. There have been eight ODIs on this ground in the past with India surprisingly only being involved in one of them. They won that though. West Indies have played here four times with a win and three defeats.
Back in those eight matches the scores were pretty low but it is a different game now. When the Rajasthan Royals used this as a home ground in the IPL in 2015 the three first innings scores were all above 190 so I’m expecting the runs to flow once again.
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Betting
Based on what we have seen in the last two matches you would have to suggest the West Indies are a spot of value in this match and if it wasn’t for Kedar Jadhav being back I would probably have taken them in some way, shape or form but given that India might have more of a middle order I’ll sit the match betting out and head to the side markets.
West Indies have comfortably won the sixes battle in the last two ODIs and I fancy they can complete the hat trick here. West Indies simply bat so deep as we saw in Pune whereas after the top four India’s big hitting begins to run out and as we saw in Pune they don’t really look capable of doing much with the bat anyway. It is a natural thing for West Indies to go after sixes so I’m surprised they are still 11/10 to hit the most in this match. I’m happy to get on.
Tips
Back West Indies Most 6s for a 4/10 stake at 2.10 with 888sport
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