We already know the two teams who will compete in the final of the Ireland Tri-Nations Series on Friday but before then the home side Ireland get one more run out when they hope to face Bangaldesh for the first time after their previous meeting was washed out by the rain.
Ireland know their tournament comes to a close here but they have a lot of big cricket to come so this is anything but a dead rubber for their squad. Bangladesh have Friday’s final to look forward to as well as the upcoming World Cup so it isn’t completely useless to them either.
You always get a lot of heart and effort out of the Ireland side but we’ve seen in their two matches against West Indies in this competition, and the ODI with England prior to that, that they just don’t have the bowling resources to operate competitively at this level. They run in and throw everything at it but they just can’t maintain enough pressure on the opposition to restrict them to a necessary score.
To be fair, with the bat Ireland are an improving side to the level now where they are pretty reliable and aren’t just needing one man to deliver the goods for them. If they can just get into that position with the ball then they will be a tidy and competitive unit, but they look a little way off of that presently. Nevertheless, they love having a crack at the more established nations and get a free shot at one here.
Whisper it quietly but Bangladesh could be set for a huge couple of months. They are probably the favourites to go on and win this crown now and there is nothing to stop them having a very strong World Cup campaign to follow up their run to the quarter final of the competition four years ago. They made the semi-final of the Champions Trophy two years ago and could easily emulate that later this summer.
In this tournament we have seen some very measured but high quality batting from the Bangladesh top order while with the ball I have been impressed with how they have not panicked. West Indies have been in decent positions against them in both outings but Bangladesh weathered the storm and then held their nerve later on in the innings and that is the sign of a good team. This lot shouldn’t be underestimated.
Ireland don’t really have the options to make wholesale changes. Barry McCarthy and Andy McBrine would be two men who could be included if they want to change things up a little but they might decide to give their strongest side a shot at Bangladesh here.
Bangladesh could look to use their squad in this match. Those who haven’t had game time yet such as Liton Das, Farhad Reza and Taskin Ahmed could come into the side with Mehidy Hasan, Mustafizur Rahman and either Tamim Iqbal or Mushfiqur Rahim possibly being rested.
I’ll go with a couple of bets over the course of the day with the first once again coming in the total runs market. I was going to ditch this after Bangladesh have denied me twice with good bowling performances but I would be amazed if their strongest bowling line up is on show here. It would make no sense with only this game and Friday’s final as official proper ODIs before the World Cup. Ireland showed in their last match that they have the tools to go well with the bat but they have been found wanting with the ball far too often, especially on sunny days. Between the two sides I expect to see more than 490.5 runs scored in this one.
I’ll also take a punt on Sabbir Rahman top scoring for Bangladesh when they come to bat. It would make sense for him to go up the order in this match. He is yet to face a single ball in the competition and could be relied upon when the World Cup comes around so getting some time in the middle for him must be a priority. I would imagine they will be eager to win on Friday so this looks the ideal time to do it. It could be that a couple of established batsmen sit this one out as well so the competition might not be as strong as usual. At 10/1 there is a very real path for Sabbir to move up the order and deliver a top scoring effort.
WON – Back Over 490.5 runs for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with Bet365
Back S.Rahman Top Bangladesh Batsman for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 with Coral