We head over to Holland on the DP World Tour this week for the KLM Open, the final regular event for three weeks as there is a pause for the US Open which takes place on the other side of the pond in a week from now.
Guido Migliozzi joined the roll of honour on this historic title a year ago when he won the tournament and the Italian is in the field looking to make a successful defence. The field taking him on is a competitive one.
Recent Winners
2024 – Guido Migliozzi
2023 – Pablo Larrazabal
2022 – Victor Perez
2021 – Kristoffer Broberg
2019 – Sergio Garcia
2018 – Ashun Wu
2017 – Romain Wattel
2016 – Joost Luiten
2015 – Thomas Pieters
2014 – Paul Casey
The Course
Guido Migliozzi gets the assistance of defending the title on the same course he won it on as we head back to The International in Amsterdam once again. This is only the third time the course has been used to stage this tournament so there isn’t a huge amount of history to go by. We do know that the course is a par 71 which only measures 6,914 yards so it certainly isn’t a long one but it is one which will require some accuracy.
The course has a links feel to it with large, undulating greens which produce a number of pin positions but which can lead to plenty of scrambling. There is water in play on 10 of the holes this week which further tells us that we need accuracy over length for this test. The course is largely the same as it was five years ago except hole 11 has been changed from a short par 4 to a lengthy par 3 hence why it is now a par 71.
The Field
Even though the US Open is looming on the horizon, we have four players in the top 100 in the world rankings teeing it up this week with Laurie Canter the leading light of the quartet. He has had an excellent start to the season and will be looking to build on that here. The other three players are ranked between 90-100 and they are the South African player Thriston Lawrence, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen and the Chinese star Haotong Li.
Li and Canter are two of five players in the field who are in the top 10 in the Race to Dubai rankings. The other three are John Parry, Kristoffer Reitan and Daniel Hillier who all have a chance to enhance their position in that list. Half a dozen players are ranked between 11-20 with a tee time here. Neergaard-Petersen is one with the others being Keita Nakajima, Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra, Johannes Veerman, Dylan Naidoo and Richard Mansell. Others of note in the field include the home star Joost Luiten, Ewen Ferguson and the winner in Austria last week, Nicolai von Dellingshausen.
Market Leaders
We have a clear favourite this week in the form of Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen. The Dane can be taken at 16/1 to come out on top in Holland and based on his form of earlier in the season it is hard to dispute that, however he missed the cut in Austria last week. Being a Dane he should be familiar with links golf though and he is the third highest ranked player in the field in terms of the world rankings but he is yet to win on the DP World Tour and looks tight at the prices.
Two experienced campaigners come next in the betting at 22/1. They are the home favourite Joost Luiten and Haotong Li. Luiten missed the cut in Austria last week but he’ll be motivated by playing at home and on this course he has gone T10-T15 so he has to be respected while Haotong has been in decent form for a while but he missed the cut here last year. He feels in better form now though and might be worth keeping on side.
Keita Nakajima comes next in the betting at 28/1. The Japanese player was just outside the top 10 in Austria last week and arrives here off the back of a season which has yielded a couple of second placed finishes in Asia earlier in the campaign. He won in India last term and went well in the European Open a few weeks later. This will be the first time he has played the KLM Open which might be an issue and there is little links form on his record to suggest this will be his week.
The only other player in the field shorter than 33/1 is Laurie Canter. He is 30/1 on the best prices and will be looking for a big week. The Englishman is the highest ranked player in the field so that might well make him value. He was T38 here last year so will be looking for a much higher finish this year. Canter has won the Bahrain Championship this season and coming from England will be familiar in links conditions so there is plenty to like about his chances this week.
Main Bets
John Parry stands out as the first main bet for me this week. He has already served me well this season when he won the Mauritius Open and while that wasn’t on a links track, it was on an exposed one so he certainly won’t mind the open nature of this place. He also went well in the two Australian events earlier in the season where the wind is a factor and the course can play firm and fast. Parry arrives here off the back of a fourth placed finish in Belgium a couple of weeks ago where he was second in the field going into the final round. With conditions to suit, I like the chances of Parry here.
Johannes Veerman is my other selection as a main bet this week. The American was tenth here last year with a pair of 65s but either side of those he couldn’t quite get the job done but I’m encouraged by the fact that he scored well in two of the rounds and if he can put two more solid ones together he could take a bit of beating here. Since that week he has won at the Nedbank Golf Challenge which takes some doing and he has won on a fairly exposed layout in the Czech Masters in the past too. Veerman hits it long and has good touch on the greens and makes for a solid main play here.
Outsiders
Joe Dean lost out in a playoff here a year ago but the Englishman looks a decent price to go well again here. Dean had a couple of decent showings in the desert earlier in the season and arrives here off the back of a solid scoring week in Austria last week where he went well without ever getting himself in contention but that should bring about positive vibes heading back to a track where he went well a year ago. Dean was runner up a couple of times on the DP World Tour last season so we know he can be competitive at this level and at the prices he feels like a decent enough each way punt.
The other bet I like this week is Matthew Southgate, a player with a significant book of form on links courses over the course of his lengthy career. He needed to go well in a tournament in the lead up to this one in order for me to add him to my team but a T5 in Turkey not so long ago ticked that box and his record on this track certainly isn’t too shabby. He opened with a 70 last year before he had to withdraw from the tournament and he was inside the top 10 here in 2019. The course clearly agrees with him and the conditions and style of golf does too and with that decent showing in Turkey under his belt he completes my team this week.
Tips
Back J.Parry to win KLM Open (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 51.00 with Unibet (1/5 1-6)
Back J.Veerman to win KLM Open (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 51.00 with Spreadex (1/5 1-6)
Back J.Dean to win KLM Open (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 81.00 with Unibet (1/5 1-6)
Back M.Southgate to win KLM Open (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 126.00 with Boylesports (1/5 1-6)
Back him here:
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