NFL 2024 Playoffs – Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Tips and Betting Preview

We will find out the two teams who will compete in Super Bowl LIX on Sunday when the two Championship matches take place. We begin with the NFC where the Philadelphia Eagles host the Washington Commanders.

These two NFC East rivals will go at it with the winners heading to New Orleans in two weeks to compete in the Super Bowl and the losers will fall a game short of going to the big dance. This should be very competitive.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles were at the Super Bowl two years ago and they are one win away from getting back there here and look to have plenty going for them as they big to make it back to the big game. The obvious thing they have going for them is home advantage, although they did have that last week against the Los Angeles Rams and only just came out on the winning side. The other thing they have is a team who look ideally suited to winning postseason matches.

We saw their ability to run the ball at will last week, and nothing is expected to change in that regard here because they are up against another poor run defence in this match. We have seen their own defence come to the fore over the last couple of months too and if they weather takes a turn for the worse, which is possible given the forecast, then that would do the Eagles no harm either. Philadelphia can win a defensive showdown or a shootout which is never a bad thing.


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Washington Commanders

The Washington Commanders have been the surprise packages of the season so far and will be looking to emulate the San Francisco 49ers from last season and go to the Super Bowl with a rookie quarterback. Jayden Daniels has superseded all expectation going into the campaign and he now has this Commanders side performing really well and they will head to Philadelphia believing they can make the Super Bowl, particularly after solid road wins in Tampa Bay and Detroit in the last two weeks.

The big question for the Commanders is whether they can keep Saquon Barkley quiet. If they can and they can get their defence off the field quickly then we know that they can sustain long drives. We saw that in Tampa Bay and then last week we saw that they can go toe-to-toe with anyone and come out on the winning side. As long as the occasion doesn’t get to Daniels, and there has been nothing in his career to date that says it will do, then Washington are live outsiders here.

Betting

I love two bets for this match with the first of those being for the Washington Commanders to stay within 6.5 points of the Eagles. The form of Jalen Hurts is a real concern for the Philadelphia Eagles and if he isn’t as much of a factor in this match as he might be and the Commanders’ defence can focus on trying to stop Saquon Barkley this could be a much closer match than the spread suggests. We know that Washington can deliver long drives, which would be one way of keeping Barkley off the field, but also they have the deep play threat that allows them to score quickly should they need it and whether it comes through remaining close throughout or a back door cover, I do like the Commanders to cover 6.5 here.

The other bet I like is for Jalen Hurts to pass for less than 194.5 yards. He only threw for 221 when fully fit in the Philadelphia win between these two earlier in the season but when you consider the cold conditions, the playoff nature of this game and the fact that Hurts doesn’t look anywhere near 100% since the concussion he suffered when these two met the second time and it isn’t hard to see how 27 yards come off that total. You would imagine given the amount of yards that the Washington defence give up on the ground that there will be a real emphasis on running the ball behind this strong offensive line and taking the heat off a hurt Hurts. The under on his passing yards looks good to me, particularly when you consider in the two postseason wins so far this term he has totalled 131 and 128 yards.

Tips

Back Washington Commanders (+6.5) to beat Philadelphia Eagles for a 3/10 stake at 1.87 with Betway

Back J.Hurts – Under 194.5 passing yards for a 3/10 stake at 1.91 with Betway