After a Thanksgiving Day triple header of action in the NFL 2025 season on Thursday, we have a Black Friday clash to look forward to as well as two current division leaders meet when the Philadelphia Eagles host the Chicago Bears at Lincoln Financial Field.
Both teams are on course for a home match in the postseason and the winner here will extend their advantage on the chasers, both of whom were winners in the Thanksgiving day games while the losers will still have a bit of work to do.
Philadelphia Eagles
The champions Philadelphia Eagles head into this contest with an 8-3 record which is currently good enough to have them in front in the NFC East and a win here would consolidate that position. They seem to win four matches and then hit a wall having twice had bursts of four wins in succession before a defeat, the latest loss coming in the defeat to the Dallas Cowboys last weekend when they were in control at 21-0 in the first quarter only to fail to score after that and surrender a good position.
The Eagles will hope that was just a wake up call and that they will bounce back here with a win but it does show that they aren’t yet the relentless machine that they were last season. The big problem they have had is that the output of Saquon Barkley has basically halved in terms of the numbers and so getting him going will be a priority over the remaining six weeks of the season. The noise around A.J. Brown probably hasn’t helped either so Philadelphia could do with a convincing performance here.
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Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears are having their best season in quite some time. There would have expected to be an upturn in their results after a couple of lean campaigns which have allowed them to draft well but whether anyone expected them to be leading a high class NFC North at this stage of the year is a different thing entirely. They are though courtesy of an 8-3 record and when you consider that they were 0-2 for the season at one point, that ledger is all the more impressive.
The Bears are about to begin a run which will tell us whether they are genuine contenders this season or just the beneficiaries of a nice schedule. They have six matches remaining with three of them coming against their division rivals Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions as well as an away trip to the champions here and a game against San Francisco too. You would think three wins will secure a wildcard but they might need more to win the division so all eyes will be on Caleb Williams and the offense in the next few weeks.
Betting
This looks like a great match on paper and hopefully that is how it will transpire for everyone watching in the holiday season out in the United States. I do think Philadelphia Eagles will win the match. They are money at home having won 15 of their last 16 matches here whereas there is a part of me who thinks that the Bears record might be a little better than their performances when you consider that seven of their eight wins have been by seven points or less.
That isn’t necessarily a negative, Kansas City Chiefs have made the last two Super Bowls winning one score games but generally teams will lose one now and again. The bet I like here though is for Jalen Hurts to throw over 208.5 passing yards. That record suggests that the Bears have it in them to be competitive here and keep the Eagles’ passing game in their thoughts and with them struggling to get the running game going it might be that Hurts needs to do this through the air. He comes in here off the back of a 289 yard game against Dallas last week where he completed almost twice as many passes as in any of the three previous weeks. With that aerial game looking better he can cover a modest yardage line here.
Tips
Back J.Hurts – Over 208.5 passing yards for a 3/10 stake at 1.87 with Boylesports
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