We have had a look at the outright market for the Ryder Cup and the markets for the top point scorer for each team and with still a few hours before either Sam Burns or Scottie Scheffler hit the opening tee shot we have enough time to sift through the side markets.
There are markets on all sorts of weird and wonderful things from point scorers to day winners to who will go out when on Sunday and who will do what. After a good sift through them there are four markets I’m happy to target.
Top European Wildcard
We have a six runner field in the top European wildcard market with Luke Donald having selected Ludvig Aberg, Shane Lowry, Justin Rose, Sepp Straka, Tommy Fleetwood and Nicolai Hojgaard for his team. Those are his wildcard picks and four of those six are out in the first session on Friday morning. It can only be a negative for Rose and Hojgaard that they haven’t been selected. Of the others I don’t see Lowry or Straka playing all of the sessions but that can’t be said of the other two.
If Aberg was just a little more experienced I might have chanced him in this market but the fact that Fleetwood can pair up with so many people and has a game suited to all three disciplines just puts him out there on top for me. It is a brucey bonus that he is out with Rory McIlroy on Friday morning and if that partnership flourishes there will be no need to split it up. If it doesn’t the likes of Rose, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Bob MacIntyre or even Tyrrell Hatton could be waiting for Fleetwood so he feels a safe favourite in this market.
Player Point Total
All 24 players have had their point total for the tournament priced up with different targets for each of them. Those who are in action on Friday morning have slightly higher lines than those who don’t so that helps us out a little but we still need to work out who might be out and when and the maximum points that they might be able to get. Anyone who would be a good thing in singles will help as that can be one point.
I wouldn’t say Rickie Fowler will beat everyone on the European team but there are certainly half a dozen where I would have him no worse than a 50:50 chance against so the fact that his line is two points or more certainly has me interested, especially when he and Collin Morikawa are the shortest priced American pairing on Friday morning. Were they to win that match then that would be half of the Fowler required total with four sessions left. That line feels too low to me.
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First European on Sunday
We also have a market for which player the captain will send out for his respective side first in the singles on Sunday. This market can differ over the course of the week because we don’t really know the state of play heading into Sunday and whether a team is leading and backends his personnel or is losing and has to go with the big guns at the top. A look back at past Ryder Cups reveals a potentially obvious pick in the European market though.
Rory McIlroy has gone out first in the last three Ryder Cups. In those matches Europe have gone into the singles trailing 6.5-9.5, leading 10-6 and trailing 5-11 so whatever the situation European captains have tended to lead with their star man. Luke Donald was vice-captain in the last two of those tournaments so he would have had a say in that selection. McIlroy isn’t as far clear as the standout European but he is probably their best match player and I would be very surprised if he doesn’t spearhead the European charge on Sunday.
Winning Point
The last market I want to visit before the opening day is the player to score the winning point or half point. I’ve already pinned my colours to the European mast so I won’t be looking at a USA player for this market. I do think this will be a tight Ryder Cup though and I would be surprised if Europe wrap it up before the final four matches on Sunday. We’ve just seen the Solheim Cup won in the penultimate match and something similar here certainly wouldn’t surprise me.
I expect Luke Donald to put some big guns up top on Sunday but some pure ball strikers will be saved in reserve and so I think the value lies on Matt Fitzpatrick or Sepp Straka. Fitzpatrick is a very good golfer who would fancy his chances against anyone on the opposing team. He has been out last in both Ryder Cups that he has played so I would expect him down the order while Straka feels like one of those who might get hidden down at nine or 10 where it could get really juicy. I think Straka is underrated. He won his Hero Cup singles match 5&4 against Ewen Ferguson earlier in the year and his approach play is perfect for this track. Back them both and hope Donald has them out late on Sunday.
Tips
Back T.Fleetwood Top European Wildcard for a 2/10 stake at 3.25 with Coral
Back R.Fowler 2 or more points for a 3/10 stake at 1.83 with William Hill
Back him here:
Back R.McIlroy first European out in singles for a 2/10 stake at 2.75 with Sky Bet
Back M.Fitzpatrick to gain winning point/half point for a 1/10 stake at 19.00 with Boylesports
Back him here:
Back S.Straka to gain winning point/half point for a 1/10 stake at 34.00 with Sky Bet
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