The NFL season gets underway on Thursday night but before the first pass is thrown and the first run is made there is a chance to look at the player markets for the campaign ahead, of which there are plenty as ever.
Usually we would split these player previews up but with time being of the essence and this being quite a busy period I’ll cover them all in one go especially with value not as free flowing as it has been in recent seasons.
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Most Passing Yards
This market is all about Drew Brees and why wouldn’t it be? You have to go back to 2013 for the last time Brees did not throw the most passing yards in a season but I’m not completely convinced he is the man to be on this year. Even if he was I couldn’t take him at 3/1 with the amount of injuries in the NFL these days.
Tom Brady is a worthy opponent but he is not one to produce insane yardage regularly while Matt Ryan will be working under a new offensive coordinator. Aaron Rodgers doesn’t have enough weapons in my eyes. Kirk Cousins is an interesting option but at double the price I think it is worth taking the chance Ben Roethlisberger stays fit.
The Pittsburgh gun slinger is guaranteed big yards to his magnet Antonio Brown and there will be lots of yards picked up by Le’Veon Bell too. If the returning Martavis Bryant goes off and the experienced Darrius Heyward-Bey keeps hold of anything that comes his way Big Ben has plenty of each way value in a season of inexperienced or past it quarterbacks.
Most Receiving Yards
Julio Jones and Antonio Brown are all the rage in this market but neither of them were the leading receiver last year and the fact they have both had their injury issues in their career highlights why it is not worth taking them at 7/2. Odell Beckham has plenty more about him at 10/1 but I like two at bigger prices than that.
The signing of DeSean Jackson in Tampa Bay will definitely have a major impact on the amount of coverage that Mike Evans receives, or doesn’t receive as might well be the case. I think Evans is an elite receiver and he has been in the league long enough now to go to the next level. Winston is improving all the time in an offense that I expect to function this year. I’m expecting big yards from the big receiver.
I’ll also take a chance on Terrelle Pryor Jr at a massive price. He was never going to get any long term joy at Cleveland but a move to Washington could be the making of him. He is clearly a very talented player and with a gun slinger like Cousins aiming at him I’m expecting him to see plenty of action. He is worth a nibble.
Most Rushing Yards
This is the hardest of the three markets to bet on not just because running backs are the most likely to pick up injuries but also because there is this farcical situation with Ezekiel Elliott which still shows no sign of an official conclusion.
He ran away, if you pardon the pun, with this title last year but if he misses six matches this season he won’t be reclaiming his rushing crown. Le’Veon Bell is the favourite but he always seems to miss matches while David Johnson, arguably the best player in the NFL, is a little short in light of the defences he will rush against.
I never like betting at the head of this market. If I were to then Jordan Howard could be worth a few coins but elsewhere in that NFC North I think it is worth taking a chance on the rookie at Minnesota, Dalvin Cook. He has been drafted with a big reputation and he will have a decent line to run behind. The Vikings still haven’t completely solved the quarterback conundrum so I’m expecting Cook to see plenty of ball and at 33/1 I’ll pay to see what he does with it.
Tips
Back B.Roethlisberger Most Passing Yards (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 26.00 with Paddy Power (1/4 1-3)
Back him here:
Back M.Evans Most Receiving Yards (e/w) for a 2/10 stake at 13.00 with Ladbrokes (1/4 1-4)
Back him here:
Back T.Pryor Jr Most Receiving Yards (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 67.00 with BetVictor (1/4 1-3)
Back him here:
Back D.Cook Most Rushing Yards (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 34.00 with Betfred (1/4 1-3)
Back him here:
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