It is the turn of the men to play out their quarter finals at Wimbledon on Wednesday afternoon with spots in the semi-final of the third Grand Slam of the year up for grabs. With the quality of player left in we are sure for a decent day of action.
Three of the legends of the game have all made it through to the quarter finals while seven of the right men on show on Wednesday have competed in Grand Slam finals so the quality is guaranteed on both courts.
Day 8 Recap
The women’s quarter finals were full of entertainment and quality with two straight sets wins for Angelique Kerber and Jelena Ostapenko over Daria Kasatkina and Dominika Cibulkova while Serena Williams and Julia Goerges made it through in three set battles to take their place in Thursday’s semi-final.
Unfortunately it was a real day to forget for us betting wise with the Kerber match falling 0.5 games short of the line we took while Kiki Bertens failed to win from a set up. To make matters worse Cibulkova made a great start and couldn’t get the job done either.
Centre Court
Kei Nishikori vs Novak Djokovic
The opening match on Centre Court is the one between Kei Nishikori and Novak Djokovic who are both players who are returning to their best and the lure of a Grand Slam semi-final will be strong for the pair of them.
Djokovic has something of a stranglehold over his Japanese rival with 13 wins to two losses and in truth in a lot of those matches Nishikori hasn’t really got close and I’m not expecting much to change on this surface. Nishikori has had to come through a couple of battles to get here too and his body looked weary in the last round. Djokovic has cruised through in the main and is undoubtedly getting better as he goes along and away from clay he has a really strong record over Nishikori in terms of the margin he wins sets by. I think he covers 5.5 games here.
Juan Martin del Potro vs Rafael Nadal
The second quarter final on Centre Court on Wednesday is a repeat of the French Open semi-final between Juan Martin del Potro and Rafael Nadal. Nadal powered past the Argentine at Roland Garros but this one should be much closer on this surface.
That is if all is well with del Potro. He looked out of sorts in the previous round against Gilles Simon with fears that his left wrist could be troubling him. That would be a shame if it is but it certainly puts me off betting on this match. I’m on the popular Argentine outright so I’ll be hoping his wrist issues were just twinges and he’s fine to compete here. If he is 100% fit he can take Nadal to the limit at the very least and hopefully sneak over the line.
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Court 1
Roger Federer vs Kevin Anderson
If you are wondering where Roger Federer is on Wednesday then the answer is he is on Court 1 when he takes on Kevin Anderson in the opening quarter final on the second of the show courts. Federer leads the head to head battles between the two 4-0 with Anderson still looking for his first set.
It is difficult to see too much changing in that regard but some of the odds around the South African here are pretty daft. He has clinically seen off three tricky opponents in the last three rounds and if he serves well there is no reason why he can’t force a couple of tiebreaks in this match and he only needs a couple of points to go his way to be right in the contest. Whether it is possible for him to run Federer close or not remains to be seen but I wouldn’t be surprised if this is closer than the odds suggest. This isn’t one to bet on in my eyes though.
Milos Raonic vs John Isner
The last of the quarter finals could go on all night and deep into next week if history is anything to go by when Milos Raonic takes on John Isner. They have met four times in the past, with Isner leading 3-1 on their head to head record, and seven of their nine sets have been decided on the tiebreak.
I’m already on Isner to win this match at 16/1 having backed him to win the quarter before a ball was hit this week so I’m not going to get involved in the match betting here but there is one bet that stands out on the contest.
On this surface in particular I think it is fair to assume that breaks of serve are going to be at a heavy premium in this match so the natural thing to do is look to the overs in the games even with the line being a very high 46.5. With the breaks of serve being few and far between that is basically a line that says that the match needs to have more than three sets. Over 3.5 sets is generally a 4/9 shot so the value is in the game overs. Even three tiebreaks in a four set match will see this land.
Tips
WON – Back N.Djokovic (-5.5 games) to beat K.Nishikori for a 4/10 stake at 1.80 with Boylesports
Back M.Raonic vs J.Isner – Over 46.5 games for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with Boylesports
Back them here:
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