We’ve picked out our best bets for the main outright market for the US Open this week but there is enough time before the tournament begins to take in some of the many side offerings that have been priced up for the event.
As always for a major championship we have markets on many nationalities and regions as well as finishing positions, holes in one, make or miss the cut and plenty of other weird, wonderful and wacky markets to go at. Here is where we feel the value lies in them.
Top South African
There are nine South Africans in the field this week with probably only four of them genuine runners here, maybe five. I would be surprised if one of Louis Oosthuizen, Branden Grace, Erik van Rooyen, Justin Harding or Dean Burmester is not the leading South African this week.
The claims of Oosthuizen and Grace are pretty obvious and they are the leading two in the market but I fancy van Rooyen could be a little underrated in the betting here. He has a very good record in events where wind is prominent. He was a runner up in Qatar this year and he has been out in the final group of the Irish Open in the final round in the past too. It isn’t regular tour events he goes well in either. He was T17 in The Open last year and finished in the top 10 in the USPGA Championship where he was the leading South African. Given his comfort in the wind 11/2 on him topping the South Africa leaderboard here looks good to me.
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Top Irish
There are only three men from Ireland teeing it up this tournament and as you would expect, Rory McIlroy is a strong favourite, even more so after he obliterated the field in Canada last week, but his form on firm and fast courses often leaves a little to be desired so I fancy he could be worth taking on this week.
Shane Lowry and Graeme McDowell are the other two Irishmen in the field and both have winning form this year which should give them a real confidence. McDowell won this tournament the last time it was on these shores so he knows he has that in his locker but I like Lowry here. He has really stepped up his game this year, helped by his win in Abu Dhabi, and he too comes here with a decent spin in Canada to his name. He has a brilliant short game, goes well in the wind and should be suited to this test. At 9/2 I think he’s the play in this group of three.
Top Spaniard
Four men from Spain have a tee time this week and three of them are genuine contenders in a tight and select Top Spanish player market. Jon Rahm is the odds on favourite to come out on top in this field but Pebble Beach negates so much of his strength I’m not sure I want to be on that even allowing for the fact he won the Irish Open on a links track a couple of years ago.
Sergio Garcia would be a decent alternative but something doesn’t appear quite right with him at the minute so I’m prepared to take him on with Rafa Cabrera Bello who should go well at this track. He tends to go better where the second shot is key and given that he isn’t going to need to pound it off the tee that is how I see this one. He has a good short game and putts well and 5/1 in what I see as a three horse race looks decent to me.
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Top Korean
This is another market where there are only three runners, Si Woo Kim, Byeong-Hun An and Kyoung-Hoon Lee and all the firms offering odds on this market go odds against the field which I kind of find a little bit surprising.
Si Woo Kim was fourth here back in February in the Pro-Am and I have him winning this group. Si Woo is T13 in scrambling on the PGA Tour this season. That is going to be massive here. His two rivals aren’t in the top 140 for that discipline on the tour so with missed greens likely all round the short game should see Kim comfortably land the punt at an 11/8 price which should be the other way round at the very least.
Top 30 Finish
I always like a finishing position punt on a major and given that we’ve been given an extra 10 places here it would be rude not to get stuck into this market where there are a couple of Swedish players that I like the look of.
Alex Noren hasn’t been in the best of form this season but there were shoots of life last week when he opened with a 67. He didn’t keep it going but with the wind getting most out of the way over the weekend here, if he can just make the cut he only has to finish halfway up the leaderboard for a pay out here. He is usually a machine into the greens and we’ve seen at all the big events his short game is of the top class. He has a decent record on near enough every exposed track going in Europe and if he takes inspiration from that there is a top 30 in him.
His countryman Marcus Kinhult is a big price in this market too at 8/1. He won the British Masters on a links course in some pretty rough conditions last month and qualified for this event in style too. He was third in Qatar last year which an exposed track while Le Golf National offers similar traits to this one and he held the lead going into the final round at that track last year too. Chuck in a top 20 at the Dunhill Links in October and we’ve got a good wind player who could outlast beaten opponents should he make the cut.
Tips
Back E.van Rooyen Top South African for a 2/10 stake at 6.50 with Betfair
Back A.Noren Top 30 Finish for a 2/10 stake at 4.33 with Betfair
Back them here:
Back S.Lowry Top Irishman for a 2/10 stake at 5.50 with Bet365
Back R.Cabrera Bello Top Spaniard for a 2/10 stake at 6.00 with Boylesports
Back him here:
Back S-W.Kim Top Korean for a 4/10 stake at 2.38 with Betway
Back him here:
Back M.Kinhult Top 30 Finish for a 1/10 stake at 9.00 with 888sport
Back him here:
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