The third round of the ATP Miami Open comes to a close on Monday with another sizzling day of action on the schedule around the grounds of the Hard Rock Stadium in Florida as we set about finalising the identity of the last 16.
We saw the number one seed Daniil Medvedev make it into the last 16 on Sunday and on Monday the likes of Stefanos Tsitsipas, Denis Shapovalov, Diego Schwartzman and Andrey Rublev all look to join him there.
It is the day where there is only two men’s matches on the main Grandstand court on Monday and we have to wait a little while for the first of them as it is the women who get events up and running on the court. When the men do come along though it will be the fourth seed Andrey Rublev in action when he meets the leading Hungarian player Marton Fucsovics. The other men’s match comes along in the night session as Kei Nishikori looks to continue his return towards the top of the game when he battles the number two seed Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Butch Buchholz Court
The men have the Butch Buchholz Court to themselves on Monday and there are five matches taking place on it. Former US Open champion Marin Cilic opens up the show when he takes on the rising Italian star Lorenzo Musetti before potentially the match of the day in this part of the grounds as Denis Shapovalov meets Hubert Hurkacz. Diego Schwartzman will be on court after them when he meets Adrian Mannarino before the new star on the block, Aslan Karatsev, meets Sebastian Korda in what could be a tasty contest. The final match of the day sees Lorenzo Sonego meeting Daniel Elahi Galan.
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With there only being the two men’s matches on the main court it means that there is an extra one around the grounds. It falls on Court 2 and will open up the show as two seeded players meet when the rising talent of Ugo Humbert takes on the Canadian star Milos Raonic for whom these slower conditions could be something of an issue for him, with him preferring the ball to fly through the court quicker than it is doing.
There is only one bet I’m committing to over the course of the day on Monday and it comes fairly early in the piece when once again Andrey Rublev goes up against Marton Fucsovics. They have already bet twice this season and would have met a third time had the Hungarian not pulled out in Doha. They did play each other in Rotterdam and Dubai and on both occasions Rublev won in straight sets and I’m expecting the same here.
The bet I’m going to take though is for there to be less than 21.5 games in the match. The game handicap is -4.5 games and having been burned on one of them this week already when the player I backed served second I don’t want to lose to a possible 6-4 6-4 score again. This way I have that covered as is any Rublev covering of that handicap. To be fair to Fucsovics he kept close order to the Russian in Rotterdam but that was indoors. This is outdoors and the Hungarian has just slugged it out for three hours with Thanasi Kokkinakis. These are extreme conditions to be doing that. Rublev was hardly on the court long enough to break sweat in the previous round and I don’t envisage him being on it for too much longer here.
WON – Back M.Fucsovics vs A.Rublev – Under 21.5 games for a 3/10 stake at 1.91 with William Hill
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