10.42 Belmont Stakes
Preview
Over to the US for what would have traditionally been the final leg of the Triple Crown but, in a year where everything has been turned upside down, it now forms the first leg with the Kentucky Derby & Preakness Stakes both moved back to later in the year. This is the 152nd running of the Belmont Stakes and it’s an interesting one, with the trip just 1 mile 1 furlong as opposed to the normal mile and a half; with the schedule moving, this is to give horses a better chance of getting the trip so early in their 3 year old careers.
So, what of the field? Well, there’s 10 runners in there and we have an odds on favourite in Tiz The Law. He’s the only Grade 1 winner in the field, having won 2, and will be hard to beat but, at the prices, I’d rather look elsewhere. The next 2 in the market are drawn 1 & 2, with Tap It To Win the likely pacesetter whose chances have been compromised somewhat with the addition to the field of pace pusher Fore Left. Sole Volante will make his run late and will probably be catching the eye late but I worry that this may come too soon after running just 10 days ago.
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Betting
Modernist could go well at a price but there are 2 selections for us here, the first of which is Dr Post. He’s quite well fancied in the betting and is the first string of Todd Pletcher. He’s unbeaten in 2 starts this year winning both at Gulfstream Park. He showed his toughness last time in a very rough race but once in the clear, came away to score in nice fashion.
He is very lightly raced with 3 career runs being the joint lowest in the field and is open to loads of improvement. The delay to this year’s schedule will likely suit him more than most &, after a 56 day absence, he comes here fresh. The 9 draw is ideal for one who will stalk the pace &, as I’ve got him in the ‘could be anything but definitely more to come’ category, he’s the one I feel will give the favourite most to do.
Our 2nd bet is Pneumatic who is drawn one wider in the outside box, 10. He’s a very lively outsider coming here off the back of 3 career runs, again unexposed, all of them this year.
After winning a couple of lesser races at Oaklawn Park, he was stepped up to the Grade 3 Matt Winn at Churchill Downs where he finished just under 2 lengths 3rd behind Maxfield who, had he not suffered injury, would’ve been 2nd favourite for this. Like our first bet, he’s likely to improve plenty & if he does, he’s another I want onside at the current prices.
Tips
PLACED – Back Dr Post (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 9.00 Bet365 (1/5 odds 1-3)
Back Pneumatic (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 15.00 Bet365 (1/5 odds 1-3)
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