There are five race meetings over England and Ireland on Monday as the focus switches away from Royal Ascot and the thoughts begin to turn towards Epsom and The Derby which is less than two weeks away now.
We might not get any clues for the next weekend of classics on Monday, but we should get some decent racing, where there are cards at Thirsk, Ayr and Roscommon in the afternoon as well as the traditional Monday evening meeting at Windsor and Limerick. We’ve picked out two bets to keep us going.
1.15 Thirsk
Preview
A really nice Class 4 handicap around the turning 7 furlongs at Thirsk is where we head for our first bets of the week. There are 14 runners in this. Tangled, who runs for the Karen Tutty yard, bids to follow up on a recent win at Beverley but a 4lb higher mark in a better class of race may prove problematic. Zap is one of two runners from the Richard Fahey yard. He had no form last season but his mark continues to fall & should be capable off this sort of mark but I’d have wanted to see better on his reappearance to be interested here at odds of around 5/1.
The race at Haydock won by Shady McCoy holds the key to this race with the 3rd, 5th & 6th all reopposing. The form of that race has been franked with the 2nd coming out & winning since. The 3 that go here were separated by just half a length, the 3rd being Fahey’s 2nd horse, Right Action. He got a good trip that day but the fact he’s off the same mark & doesn’t have the 3lb claimer on board sees him worse off with the other 2, despite being the most well touted by the market.
Betting
We are going double handed by siding with the 5th and 6th from that Haydock race. The 5th that day was Production who is the only runner at the meeting for Ed Walker. He ran well at Haydock on his first run for the yard & had every chance until fading in the last half furlong. That was despite breaking poorly & having to use up some energy to get himself an early position. He’ll surely improve for that run & dropped 1lb in the handicap, now racing off his last winning mark, gives him every chance.
Finishing alongside that day was Roundhay Park who, despite being better known as a sprinter, saw the trip out well. He too has been dropped 1lb & should come on for his seasonal reappearance. In that Haydock race, he pulled hard & suffered interference around the bend but travelled as well as any. If he settles better, he’s the most likely winner off a mark 13lbs lower than his last winning mark.
Tips
Back Production (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 7.50 William Hill BOG (1/5 odds 1-4)
Back it here:
Back Roundhay Park (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 12.00 Skybet BOG (1/5 odds 1-4)
Back it here:
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6.30 Windsor
Preview
Another nice Class 4 handicap, this time over 6 furlongs with a big field of 14 going to post. Whelans Way has been well backed into favourite, the Cieren Fallon factor coming into effect &, despite him running well, he may need his mark to ease a little more.
Like the Thirsk race, there appears to be one race that holds the key here & that’s a 6 furlong handicap at Lingfield on all weather won by Badayel. He’s 5lbs higher here & was well suited to the way the race was run that day, finishing fast & late on the wide outside. Similarly, Mamillius came late in finishing just under 2 lengths 4th & gets in here off the same mark. A little further back in 6th was The Lamplighter & he was then dropped 2lbs for his last run at Goodwood where he was edged out by a neck. Off the same mark, he could go well but at the prices, I’d prefer another from that Lingfield race.
Betting
Iconic Knight split Mamillus & The Lamplighter & has been dropped 2lbs from that run. He looks to be best at the weights; 7lbs better off with the winner where the race was run to suit the winner, 2lbs better off than Mamillius who was 1 place in front & off the same terms as The Lamplighter who he beat that day.
He’s better on turf too so that run at Lingfield can be upgraded & he’s often needed his reappearance so there’s plenty of reason for hope here. Add to that his record here, with 2 of his 3 career runs coming at this track (placed a further 3 times here too), and the claims are solid. He is winless since winning here in September 2018 but that was off a mark off 75 (he’s off 74) & it’s the first time since he’s raced off a mark so low. That said, he has been placed 5 times off marks between 77 and 79 so with the drop in mark, return to this track & a run under his belt this term, he must go close.
Tips
Back Iconic Knight (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 8.50 Coral BOG (1/5 odds 1-4)
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