The last match in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs comes from the iconic Lambeau Field as the Green Bay Packers take on the Seattle Seahawks with both sides knowing they are playing to go to Levi’s Stadium to face San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game next week.
The Packers secured home advantage for this match courtesy of finishing as the second seeds in the NFC while the Seahawks went to Philadelphia and won last week and will be looking for their second successive road win this postseason.
Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers won their last five matches of the regular season to finish with a 13-3 record for the regular season. Importantly for them as far as this match is concerned, they went 7-1 at Lambeau Field, so they should be full of confidence going into this encounter. As we’ve seen so far this weekend, the one thing they have to guard against is rust after a week off. Two of the three teams who didn’t play last week have looked very ordinary this week.
You would think the success or otherwise in this match would be determined by how well Aaron Rodgers goes at quarterback. In what is quite an inexperienced Packers offense, he is among the most experienced in the game when it comes to the postseason, so it isn’t just his play which will be important, it is his leadership and his guidance of those around him. The Packers defence will need to contain Russell Wilson as much as possible.
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Seattle Seahawks
We are right in the part of the season where the Seattle Seahawks come alive. They deserve a bit of credit for their win last week. In fact they deserve a lot of it because it is never easy to win on the road in the postseason, even allowing for the fact that they were facing the side with the weakest of records of all the division winners. They held themselves together in the pressure moments and that is exactly what you expect from them.
Russell Wilson was inspired as you would expect him to be last week and he’ll be the key here but the Seahawks defence is really beginning to up the ante and that gives them every chance. We know they can perform under duress and with a loaded set of running backs at their disposal there is no reason to think that the Seahawks won’t be extremely dangerous here. At the very least you would think they’ll run the Packers close.
Betting
The bookmakers have this match as the closest of the lot and I wouldn’t necessarily disagree with that, although it should be said one heavy outsider has already won and another has every chance of winning so far this weekend. My gut tells me the Seattle Seahawks will come through here but there is enough of a 50:50 element to the game to sway me from betting on the outcome of it. I do think it will be tight enough to merit a different bet though.
That comes in the form of the points where I think 46.5 could be a line too high here. I expect both defences to be giving this their absolute all and while we have two elite quarterbacks on show in this match, their support casts aren’t as strong as some of the teams that have reached this stage so I think there could be a lot more strategy and traditional playoff football played here, especially in pretty cold conditions. The under has been a theme of this postseason so far and I’m happy to take one here.
Tips
Back Under 46.5pts for a 4/10 stake at 1.91 with Coral
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