Week eight of the NFL season finishes with the Monday Night Football which comes from Arrowhead Stadium and involves a juicy AFC West showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos.
Denver Broncos are playing for themselves and the rest of the division in this match as if they lose the Chiefs will move to 6-2 for the season and will be tough to reel in. If Denver win they will be just a game behind the Chiefs and it will be game on.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs made a real statement of intent at the beginning of the season when they flew out of the traps to beat New England and that was the catalyst for winning their opening five matches but they have hit the skids a little in recent weeks with defeats to the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Oakland Raiders and they will want to get back to winning ways in this one.
The change in the Kansas City offense has been the remarkable thing this season. It is suddenly vibrant and dynamic and causing all sorts of issues for the opposition. They do have a weakness with their own defence though which has been exploited in the last couple of weeks so they need to tighten up on that side of the ball.
Denver Broncos
It has not been the season that the Denver Broncos would have wanted so far and it has been a real struggle offensively which is a surprise in a way although I don’t think Trevor Siemian has ever truly convinced in the quarterback position. Having won three of their first four matches they have dropped their two games since the bye.
The flip side of course is that their defence remains a potent force and if they offense can suddenly start to fire then there is no reason why they can’t launch a run which would secure a wildcard spot were the division title to become out of reach. In an ideal world they would establish a much more solid run game.
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Betting
This is not the easiest match to bet on with both sides losing their last two matches. I may have leaned towards the Denver Broncos with their defence but they’ve just been nilled by the Los Angeles Chargers which isn’t a result that inspires me. I’m not sure I want to trust the Kansas City defence to cover a converted touchdown though.
Given all that I’m going to head to the player markets for a bet on this one and given that Amari Cooper caught for 210 yards against this Chiefs defence last week I think the 62.5 yard line for Demaryius Thomas is very much on the low side. He has been Siemian’s receiver of choice this year with five more catches than anyone else. He is averaging 13 yards per catch and five catches a match. That is the average we need for him to cover here but against a secondary bleeding yards at a crazy rate we may not even need that many catches.
Tips
WON – Back D.Thomas – Over 62.5 receiving yards for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with BetVictor
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