The Premier League season continues on Tuesday evening when there is one match in the competition, a clash that is free to air for those who have the Pick channel, as Brighton and Hove Albion take on Manchester United at the Amex Stadium.
Brighton are beginning to edge their way nearer to safety this season and three points here would as good as seal the deal. United are fighting hard for a Champions League spot and will move back into fifth if they come out on top here.
Where to watch
The game is being shown on four different channels. Sky subscribers can watch the action on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League or Sky One, while those who don’t subscribe have the option of watching on Pick. The build up begins at 7.30pm with the match kicking off at 8.15pm.
Brighton and Hove Albion
It has been a solid return to the Premier League for the Seagulls since the division has restarted. They have seen off Arsenal at home and gone to the King Power Stadium and avoided defeat against a dangerous Leicester City side, albeit one who haven’t come out of the break in the best of form. You could argue the win over Arsenal was fortuitous but they kept plugging away and finally exposed the weaknesses in that Gunners team.
Brighton have proven very tough to beat either side of lockdown. They have only lost one of their last seven matches, but that victory over Arsenal is the only match they have won in that time so they just need to fine tune that balance between caution and attack and they could turn into a decent unit under Graham Potter. Playing behind closed doors might help them here as they can sit back and play on the counter, a policy expectant home fans hate to allow when their hard earned has gone into watching it.
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Manchester United
Just quietly the Red Devils are putting a decent patch of form together. You could argue there has been nothing flashy about their play a lot of the time but they were the better team against Tottenham in their opening match after the restart, and were ruthless against Sheffield United last week. They also made it through to the semi-final of the FA Cup at the weekend, so this is a United side that should be respected now if not feared just yet.
The key for United has been getting some big players back in key positions. The arrival of Bruno Fernandes was excellent but since the restart they have had Marcus Rashford, Paul Pogba and Anthony Martial back in position and they look better for it. If you were to label a criticism at them it is that they don’t tend to score enough goals, especially in tight matches on the road, and that is something that could come into play here.
Team News
Brighton might well be without Adam Webster for this match after he left the clash with Leicester City early last week. Shane Duffy replaced him in that contest and would be the natural man to come in for him here. Pascal Gross will be hoping for a recall.
Manchester United made a number of changes to their side for the FA Cup win over Norwich at the weekend and the likes of Marcus Rashford, Anthony Martial, Paul Pogba and David de Gea are all expected to be recalled from the start here. Phil Jones remains out.
Betting
You’d like to think this would be a good watch this match but I have my doubts over whether it will be or not. It should be a match where both teams can set up the way the like to but whether that just sees them cancel each other out remains to be seen. I expect United to have most of the ball, which although they like to counter attack on their travels, they are not alien to having possession, and Brighton defend deep and look to spring on the counter attack.
It doesn’t inspire me into thinking this will be a classic though and neither so the statistics. The match against Arsenal was the only game at the Amex that has gone over 2.5 goals since the turn of the year and none of United’s away matches have in that time. In fact, only three United away games all season have gone over 2.5 goals and one of those was at Norwich which barely counts. The pattern of play, the trend since the return of the Premier League and the statistics all point to this one finishing with less than 2.5 goals.
Tips
Back Under 2.5 goals for a 3/10 stake at 1.80 with Betfair
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