We head into the second half of the third to last tournament on the European Tour on Saturday when the 75 men involved in the Turkish Airlines Open head back onto the course in Antalya looking to set up a bumper Sunday for themselves.
We have a brilliantly competitive leaderboard to go into ‘Moving Day’ with and with a lot of cash up for grabs on Sunday, everyone will be looking to better their position over the course of the 18 holes of the third round.
Round 2 Recap
We started Friday with joint leaders and end it with a solo one in the form of Austrian star Matthias Schwab who has posted 12 under at the halfway mark. Some real class acts sit in the group behind on 11 under though. They include Alex Noren and Danny Willett who are no strangers to winning Rolex Series events. Ross Fisher and Thomas Detry make up that group. There is another decent group on 10 under, two shots back. They are headed by the defending champion Justin Rose and includes our pre-tournament pick Robert MacIntyre while Justin Harding and David Lipsky are also in it.
This tournament is becoming frustrating from a match betting point of view. We took Sebastian Soderberg on Friday but he was beaten by a shot by Gavin Green who was completely horrendous on the greens on Thursday but turned that right around on Friday whereas the Swede plodded his way round really. Work to do there for sure.
Saturday Betting
As with Friday, we have an end of round leader market for Saturday’s play but just like when I considered a bet in it for the second round, there is just too much quality bunched up close to the leader, who should be vulnerable but held onto his lead after 36 holes. The likes of Danny Willett, Alex Noren, Justin Rose and hopefully for us Robert MacIntyre can all go low on Saturday and snatch the lead.
The other thing to consider as well is that this is a low scoring track so even someone seven or six under could back in a -8 or -9 round and get right among it. If I was playing that market I might attack it from that standpoint but once again the calibre of player ahead of them you’d think one of them will have a day out. It isn’t for me this market.
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Saturday 3 Balls
The annoying thing about this tournament is that the field remain in three balls throughout its duration. The last group off the first tee sees Matthias Schwab, Danny Willet and Ross Fisher heading off at 09.00 GMT with Thomas Detry out alongside Robert MacIntyre and Alex Noren 10 minutes earlier. There are some decent other groups heading out onto the course over the morning and I like one in particular for a bet.
Tyrrell Hatton/Jorge Campillo/Edoardo Molinari
Match tees off at 08.00 GMT
One of the middle of the range groups out onto the golf course is the one featuring Tyrrell Hatton, Jorge Campillo and Edoardo Molinari, who all tee off on eight under par after six rounds off 68 between them so far this week.
I suspect something might give here though because this is where the tournament gets serious and I always want to be on the better player at this stage of things unless someone is having an out and out mare which none of these are. There is a reason why it took Jorge Campillo so long to finally win on Tour and why Molinari hasn’t won for an age – they are not comfortable in the pressure cooker of these big events. Hatton is. He is second on strokes gained on approach this week so he is giving himself good chances but not converting any of them. If his putter hots up here though he should come through this group in front.
Tips
WON – Back T.Hatton to beat J.Campillo & E.Molinari for a 4/10 stake at 1.91 with Coral
Back him here:
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