The 2020 major season comes to a close on Sunday when the latest recipient of a Green Jacket for winning The Masters will be found when a fascinating final day at Augusta National will be played out in front of the eyes of the televised world.
It will either be a procession for Dustin Johnson or one of the biggest collapses in a history of fallen leaders that this tournament has to its name. Masters Sunday always provides compelling golf and this one is set up for much more of the same.
Round 3 Recap
The tournament was bunched up at the end of the second round but it isn’t anymore as Dustin Johnson leapt away from the field over the course of the third 18 holes. He now holds a four shot lead on 16 under par with a trio of internationals looking for their first major title his closest challengers on 12 under in Abraham Ancer, Cameron Smith and Sungjae Im. Dylan Frittelli is another shot back and you have to go to Justin Thomas in sixth on 10 under for the next major winner on the leaderboard. There is also a trio of players on nine under including the former champion Patrick Reed but they need help from Johnson to win from here. Everyone else needs a complete and utter collapse from the leader.
Because of the rain delay on the opening day this hasn’t been a tournament for betting on the three balls with the short turnarounds taking away necessary research time so the only betting in round we’ve done was on the opening one where two of our three ball bets won but annoyingly the other lost to an amateur. We picked up wins from Matt Wallace and Sebastian Munoz but not Rickie Fowler. Equally as annoying was Lee Westwood leading for about 3 hours on the opening day but seeing his four under score swamped on Friday morning.
Sunday Betting
With none of our pre-tournament outright picks high up on the leaderboard there is the outright market and the betting without Johnson market to go at on Sunday as well as the finishing position ones but I’m not really in a rush to bet on any of them even though I don’t have much of an interest in them now. I don’t see Johnson messing this one up. He might have a history of blowing opportunities but there’s nobody within six that you could say is guaranteed to chase him down. I was tempted to dabble in the without Johnson market where Rory McIlroy might turn out to be a big price but that cluster on 12 under is four ahead of him and with Thomas, Reed and Jon Rahm behind them and Rory there is just a little too much for him to do to guarantee a return. I’ll leave them alone and hit the three balls.
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Sunday 3 Balls
Usually we would see the field going out in twos all off the first tee on the Sunday but given that there isn’t as much daylight these days and the tournament has to be done earlier so the host broadcaster can show an NFL game in the evening the field are out in three balls off both the first and tenth tees. The leading group consists of Dustin Johnson, Sungjae Im and Abraham Ancer and they go out at 14.29 GMT while Cameron Smith, Dylan Frittelli and Justin Thomas are out 11 minutes before them. On the tenth tee the last group off are Jimmy Walker, Brandt Snedeker and Bernd Wiesberger. My bet comes in one of the groups in between them.
Andy Ogletree/Ian Poulter/Mike Weir
Match tees off at 13.23 GMT
One of the middle groups off the tenth tee on Sunday is the one featuring the amateur Andy Ogletree who goes into the final round as the leading amateur in the event. He is out alongside the 2003 champion Mike Weir and the European star Ian Poulter.
It is Poulter that I like here. Weir has done brilliantly well to reach two under par for his three rounds but I’ve got to think that the heat might get a little too much for him here while Ogletree has not driven the ball well at all and as these greens firm up and the pins are in their usual Sunday positions you need the control from the fairways to work the ball towards then. The other reason I don’t like Ogletree is that at some point he’ll surely focus on just winning the low amateur prize.
Poulter has been very solid this week from tee to green but hasn’t got the putter working yet. I suspect that is because he is playing April lines rather than what is in front of him as experienced golfers play this course from memory. I think the greens will resemble April more here than they have all week so that is a positive. With this group off the tenth Poulter has the length on the others to restrict the early damage and press on whereas his partners might get caught out early and lose all motivation. The even money on Poulter to win this three ball looks good to me.
Tips
WON – Back I.Poulter to beat A.Ogletree & M.Weir for a 3/10 stake at 2.00 with 888sport
Back him here:
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