We have looked at the three main markets for the Cricket World Cup but the good thing about this tournament heading into it is the outstanding number of special markets that have been compiled and it would be wrong of us not to look into some of them.
There are markets for just about everything from batsmen scores to sixes, team props and plenty more. We’ve already gone with a few outright bets but there are four more we like from these specials.
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Group Stage Winner
Quite often in these big tournaments and leagues we see teams in all sports demolishing the group stage but then coming a cropper when it comes to the knockout action so it is good to have a group stage winner here. What I particularly like about it is I only see three runners – England, India and Australia. I don’t think any of the other teams are consistent enough or to be blunt good enough.
Of the three I think England are the ones to be on here. They go round the country so won’t get bogged down on grounds and the freedom with which they play and the momentum that they carry into the tournament can stand them in good stead. England start the tournament in four venues that suit them nicely so I expect them to get on a good run and put the pressure on the others. I’ve already highlighted my fears for England in the knockout stages but that isn’t the case in the freedom of the league phase. 12/5 on them topping the first stage table looks good to me.
Team to hit most sixes
This is another market where there should be some good competition. It is also one where I’m confident there are only two runners over the course of nine or 10 matches. They are England and West Indies and my preference is for the latter at nearly double the price for a couple of reasons.
There is nobody in the West Indies top eight who can’t hit sixes but in Chris Gayle, Andre Russell and Shimron Hetmyer they have three of the bigger hitters in the world. England have likewise but were someone like Joe Root to score a lot of runs he could curtail the six hitting a little. The other reason why I like West Indies is they play three matches at Trent Bridge and Taunton – the two smallest grounds in the country – while England only play one there. That could be the difference in this market. Both these teams are serial six hitting teams but on the grounds they play at I favour West Indies here.
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Player to hit most sixes
Given all of the above, it makes perfect sense to take a West Indies player to hit the most sixes. In many ways it is like picking various brands of cider. They all taste good but we’re really looking for the ‘Thatchers Gold’ of the six hitting world. Ultimately I’ve got this between Chris Gayle and Andre Russell although Jos Buttler would be respected if he batted a shade higher.
Russell was clobbering balls to all parts in the IPL and while there are one or two big grounds in this tournament, there isn’t one which is big enough to contain Dre Russ. When we was at Nottinghamshire for the T20 a few years back he was brutal with his hitting and I expect him to be that here. I wonder if Gayle will be managed through the tournament. I hope he is from the point of view of this bet but even if he isn’t Russell can still match him in half the time. Gayle is a cleaner hitter of the ball than Russell but the all-rounder is so much more powerful. At 10/1 he’s the selection.
Total 6s
The last market I like the look of here is the total tournament sixes. You need to shop around here to get the best line but Betfair have theirs at 505.5 which I think is a touch on the low side here I have to say. Almost every side in the competition have an array of six hitters, maybe with the exception of Sri Lanka and perhaps Afghanistan but even they have players who can hit a big ball.
There are five matches in this tournament at Trent Bridge, four of which have England, West Indies or Australia on show so they are going to take out a chunk of this total while the three matches at Taunton will also see a number of sixes hit. I don’t think it is asking much for those games to average 15 sixes and that might even be a low estimate based on what we saw in the ODI at Trent Bridge earlier in the month. That would account for 120 sixes leaving us needing 386 from 40 matches – less than 10 per match. With The Oval, Bristol, Cardiff and Old Trafford also six hitting havens albeit perhaps not on the scale of Trent Bridge and Taunton, the 18 matches there should deliver a good portion of this total. I would be amazed if we don’t see 500 sixes in this tournament. That is probably par so 506 is well within reach.
Tips
Back England to win Group Stage for a 3/10 stake at 3.40 with Bet365
Back West Indies to hit most sixes for a 3/10 stake at 3.50 with Betfred
Back them here:
Back A.Russell – Player to hit most sixes for a 1/10 stake at 11.00 with Coral
Back him here:
Back Over 505.5 tournament sixes for a 5/10 stake at 1.83 with Betfair
Back it here:
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