England have three chances to win their ongoing ODI series with Australia over the coming week and the first of those comes on Tuesday when the two sides do battle in the third match at Trent Bridge in Nottingham.
England have edged a win and dominated another victory to set themselves up nicely in the series. A win here secures the spoils for them while Australia will be out to get off the mark and remain competitive when the teams head to Durham on Thursday.
England
They will be happy to have won two matches in this series so far, but I still don’t think England will be completely content with their performances in those outings. I say that because they have stuttered with the bat in the first game and why struggled is a strong word but certainly did not wholly convince with the ball in the second match.
England are a proud bunch these days and they like to play their best cricket at all times. We should cut them some slack because they have had injuries to contend with, which probably has affected their performances at times, but they themselves won’t be completely happy. Nevertheless, they play on a ground they enjoy here which could bring out their best.
Australia
I don’t think anyone knew what to expect from Australia heading into the series but what we’ve got is a side at something of a crossroads in limited overs cricket. They are missing huge players in this series which certainly hasn’t helped them but while some players have shown there is a bit of depth in their ranks, others have shown it the cupboard is nowhere near full enough.
Australia have been most disappointing with the bat in this series although you know they have issues in that area of the game when they are trying out players in positions they shouldn’t really be in. For the most part they have bowled fairly well in the series although they did let England get away from them last time out.
Team News
England captain Eoin Morgan is expected to return to the side after a back spasm kept him out on Saturday. He will replace Sam Billings unless Jonny Bairstow’s knee issue means he needs a game off.
Australia are expected to bring Billy Stanlake back into their fold after he was seen practicing on the eve of the contest. It looks as though D’Arcy Short is getting another go which means that Aaron Finch will be in the middle order again.
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Betting
I like a few bets in this match. The first of them is for the runs to flow. Since England adopted this new approach to limited overs cricket their scores on this ground have been 350/3, 286/8 and 444/3 so the Trent Bridge ground staff give England the conditions they need to excel in. While the county decks here have been a bit tricky I think we’ll get a flat track here where both teams can tee off. We’ve just seen a game have over 600 runs in it and Trent Bridge isn’t that big these days. I like over 557.5 runs here.
I fancy six of those runs could come in one hit from Glenn Maxwell, an achievement that is a tasty, and too big to refuse, 10/11 shot. Maxwell showed all his power at The Oval when launching a counterattack and he was just getting going in Cardiff before one turned and saw him caught in the deep. This ground isn’t big enough to contain Maxwell and given that he can smash seam and spin the distance this price looks huge. It really isn’t a big hit to three sides of this ground so I think Maxwell can hit a six before he walks off.
I was a wicket away from landing the goods with Adil Rashid as top England bowler on Saturday but I think he’s worth taking again here. We’ve seen in two matches now that Australia can’t play spin so I’m expecting one of the spinners to produce the goods on a baking hot day unlike on Saturday where rain turned up unexpected. At 3/1 he’s worth a go again.
Tips
WON – Back Over 557.5 runs for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with Karamba
Back it here:
WON – Back G.Maxwell – Over 0.5 sixes for a 4/10 stake at 1.91 with Ladbrokes
WON – Back A.Rashid Top England Bowler for a 2/10 stake at 4.00 with William Hill
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