The host nation Germany will be looking to book their spot in the quarter finals of Euro 2024 in the second part of the double header of action in the tournament on Saturday when they go up against Denmark in Dortmund.
Both teams had little problem making it through to the knockout stage and they will be looking to show their best stuff from here on in. Germany will be under pressure to deliver as hosts which could suit Denmark perfectly.
Where to watch
The match will be shown live and in full on ITV1 with the coverage and build-up beginning at 7pm ahead of the 8pm kick off in Dortmund.
Germany
Germany announced themselves to this tournament in emphatic fashion with that 5-1 win over Scotland in their opening game. Immediately after that match there were questions over the quality of that win because the Scots were overawed and wretched and it certainly wasn’t franked in the next two games. To be fair to the Germans, they saw off Hungary in their second game and just about did enough against Switzerland to get the point they needed to win the group.
We haven’t really seen a dominant performance from them since that Scotland game though and until we do we won’t know exactly how genuine their claims are to win this tournament. Switzerland actually exposed their defence quite easily and that will be a big concern. The other question mark comes over the quality of their number nine, although they are certainly not alone in that regard but you wonder if they are good enough to win the tournament at present.
Denmark
It was a bit of a strange group stage for Denmark. In the opening period of their first game against Slovenia, Denmark looked like a really good side with a genuine plan and one who might impose themselves on the event but then Slovenia equalised in that game and since then they have looked like a side scared to take risks and have played as much not to lose as look to win even though they have met a couple of opponents who looked there for the taking.
I guess we can’t really criticise that approach because it has got them through to the knockout stage, which Denmark aren’t in a position where they can take that for granted, but if they go out in this match then they might leave the tournament wondering what might have been if they had pressed slightly harder to win the group and have much the easier contest in the round of 16. Denmark look solid defensively but really haven’t shown signs of opening a side up yet.
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Team News
Germany will be forced into one change for this match with Jonathan Tah suspended after picking up a second yellow card in the tournament against Switzerland. Nico Schlotterbeck is expected to replace him. Antonio Rudiger is a doubt.
Denmark will also have to make a change as Morten Hjulmand will miss out as he also picked up two yellow cards in the group stage. Christian Eriksen missed training with a stomach issue on Friday and is a doubt for the game too.
Betting
I have mentioned throughout this tournament the regularity in which Denmark win corners and that is something I’m keen to exploit one last time before they bow out of the competition, if indeed this is where they meet their match. Germany aren’t exactly sluggish in the corner winning equation either and you would imagine they’ll be doing the bulk of the attacking in this match so that is certainly no bad thing.
The line for this match is 9.5 corners and when you look at it in isolation with Germany winning five, 11 and nine in their three matches and Denmark collecting nine, four and eight in their three, we have to be thinking that this line gets covered. Germany are clearly going to play on the front foot here but the width which Denmark provide when they go forward will see them contribute to the corner count as well. The over looks a good thing to me at even money here.
Tips
Back Over 9.5 corners for a 3/10 stake at 2.00 with Boylesports
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