There are four weeks left of the NFL regular season, and the first of those begins on Thursday night, when two NFC sides meet at Soldier Field as the Chicago Bears take on the blue star of the Dallas Cowboys, in a big game for the visiting side.
The Cowboys have fallen under a bit of pressure with their stuttering form this season, but they do still head up the race for the NFC East title. That is very much an uplift on the Chicago Bears who are hanging on to their season by their fingernails.
You would think with the way the NFC is currently set up, with a 6-6 record for the season, the Chicago Bears are going to have to win out if they are to extend their campaign into January. It might be that the Bears are coming good at the right time, because they come into this match off the back of successive wins, and another here would send them into a tough final three matches with their dander up and believing they can make progress.
The reason why they are in this position has been their indifferent offensive play and while you would have to say that their offense hasn’t really improved much over their last two matches, surely they will get some confidence from winning. Their defence has been immaculate for most of the season and that will have to remain the case if they are going to have any chance of making it beyond week 17.
It is the subtleties and nuances of sport that the Dallas Cowboys can go into this match with an identical 6-6 record to their opponents but are in an eminently better position with which to make it through to the playoffs with. That is because they are in much the easier division of the two but also if we are being honest it is because they have an infinitely better offense, even if they haven’t displayed that over the last couple of weeks.
Where things differ for the Dallas Cowboys comes in their recent record. They have lost their last two matches and usually heading on the road on a Thursday night is a pretty tough gig. They have been helped in that quest slightly by the fact that they played on Thanksgiving Day last week so this is just a regular away game in terms of preparation time. If they are going to win it they need an offense that has scored just 24pts in those two defeats to come to the party.
I’m not sure I would trust either offense right now and when that is the case the obvious bet is to take the under on the points. The line is 43.5 which looks a little bit high anyway given the quality of the two defences on show and that is without taking into account how much both offenses have begun to struggle in recent times. That only makes me more comfortable with the under.
When you think that the match is a huge one for both sides, we’re probably going to see a lot of hard, old school football played and a lot of churning up the clock when the chance arises. I don’t see there being much between the two sides so field goals will be important and played for. Everything about this match points towards the under. That’s my play.
Back Under 43.5pts for a 4/10 stake at 1.83 with 888sport