The NFL 2022 season begins in the early hours of Friday morning but before it does so there is just enough time to take a look through the many player markets that have been priced up for the regular season.
These markets are often very popular and after two seasons without getting stuck into them because of the various Covid protocols, with the pandemic beginning to be put behind us we can have a look at them again.
Most Passing Yards
One of the most competitive markets of any NFL season is the one belonging to the main men, the quarterbacks. Many of them are measured on the amount of yards they pass and there are a whole heap of triggermen who can throw for 5,000 yards so this is sure to be a competitive heat once again. Tom Brady was the leading passer last season but it is Justin Herbert who is the favourite for this market.
I like Herbert but if he tops this market there’s a good chance the Chargers will be on course for the Super Bowl. I think in terms of this market the value lies elsewhere in the Chargers’ division in Derek Carr the Las Vegas Raiders quarterback. Carr was fifth in this market last season but the addition of Davante Adams to his receiving corps is a particularly appealing one. Of those who finished above him last season, question marks have to be over Brady with him getting no younger and also Patrick Mahomes who has lost a key weapon. The Raiders offence looks stacked with receivers and Carr should enjoy finding them throughout the season. He feels a bit too big at 12/1.
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Most Receiving Yards
For every pass thrown there has to be a receiver on the end of it so another popular market will be the one for the most receiving yards. This market was absolutely dominated by Cooper Kupp last season. He was a few yards away from a 2,000 yard season and will surely be there or thereabouts once again.
There are dangers in the form of Justin Jefferson in particular but also Ja’Marr Chase, Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, Tyreeq Hill and Ceedee Lamb among others but Kupp was 331 yards ahead of anyone a year ago and now there is no Odell Beckham Jr around to take some of the plays. I guess that might mean Kupp is double covered but he is so hard to cover that is why he gets so many yards. Adams and Hill have both moved teams so will need to build a relationship with their new quarterbacks which is a clear negative. That isn’t the case with Kupp and although he might not push 2,000 yards once again I do think he will be the leading passer.
Most Rushing Yards
Arguably the most competitive of these markets is the one for the running backs for the most rushing yards. The winner of this market last year was Jonathan Taylor. The Colts’ running back rushed for 552 yards more than anyone else and if he goes through this season injury free then he is likely to be the winner once again. Running backs are vulnerable though so I’m happy to take him on.
We saw the impact an injury could have on the output of Derrick Henry last season. After a 2,000 yard season in 2020 the Titans back could only go for 937 last season. As far as running backs go I like Dalvin Cook but I’m not sure the new head coach at the Vikings will utilise the run enough. Nick Chubb and Joe Mixon merit respect but it is the other running back in the AFC North that I like in Najee Harris. He was only five yards off the top three last season and 59 from second place and after a season in the league I expect him to be even better. With a new quarterback at the Steelers you would think Mike Tomlin will continue to use the run game a lot and so Harris is likely to get a lot of carries. I think the market is about right but I can’t be betting short prices in this market so it is Harris for me. He will be right there with the natural improvement that should come from a second season in the league.
Tips
Back D.Carr Most Passing Yards (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 13.00 with Betfred (1/4 1-3)
Back C.Kupp Most Receiving Yards (e/w) for a 1.5/10 stake at 9.00 with Betfred (1/4 1-3)
Back N.Harris Most Rushing Yards (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 17.00 with Betfred (1/4 1-3)
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