December has arrived and we are into Week 14 of the NFL 2024 season, a week which gets underway with an NFC North dust up in the Thursday Night Football when the Detroit Lions host the Green Bay Packers.
Detroit are not only flying a march towards the NFC North title but they are the number one seed in the Conference right now. Green Bay have a perfectly respectable 9-3 record and can get right in the division title picture with a win here.
Detroit Lions
It is crazy to think that the Detroit Lions were 1-1 for their season after two weeks because they have now won their last 10 matches to put an 11-1 record together and a win here will secure them a spot in the playoffs. They won’t be interested in a wildcard spot from here though and I daresay they won’t want a low seed as a division winner either. They will be all out for the number one seed and need to keep on winning in order to hold off the Philadelphia Eagles for that position.
They can’t afford to get complacent though because they haven’t got the NFC North title in the bag yet but this is a team whose defence is playing some outstanding stuff and their offense is potentially the most potent in the game. If there is a chink in the armour we almost saw it exposed by Chicago last week who would surely have taken the Thanksgiving clash to overtime but for some absolutely horrendous clock management by the Bears in the final quarter. It is hard to see Green Bay making those mistakes if they are allowed to hang around.
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Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers could legitimately be forgiven for thinking that they should be topping their division with a 9-3 record but that isn’t the case, however a win here will move them much closer to the summit of the NFC North. The Packers go into this match off the back of a run of seven wins in their last eight matches but they will know the one match that they lost in that time was against the Lions so they have to win here to level the series else it is hard to see them topping the division.
Green Bay have diced with death on a couple of occasions in this run but the hallmark of a good side is the ability to win when they are not necessarily playing well. I always think the attributes that a team need to be winning matches in December are a good defence and a strong running game and Green Bay tick both of those boxes. The one question you would have over them is whether they are equipped to come from behind in matches.
Betting
I wouldn’t be completely surprised were the Green Bay Packers to win this game because the Detroit Lions defence is battered by injuries, especially in the front end and it might be that which is the best thing to target because I wouldn’t really want to be opposing a team who have won their last 10 matches and who are at home. This isn’t a short week for either which would give the Packers a better chance than normal but I still think the better bet comes in the form of the rushing yards of Josh Jacobs.
The Green Bay running back has been in decent form in recent times and when these two met earlier in the season he rushed for 95 yards from just 13 carries against a defence which was a lot stronger up front than it is expected to be here. Jacobs needs just 13 yards to get to 1000 on the ground this season but he will surely surpass that unless Green Bay go a few scores down early and have to abandon the run. I don’t see that happening and with his rushing yards line down at 66.5 I expect this to be covered comfortably.
Tips
Back J.Jacobs – Over 66.5 rushing yards for a 3/10 stake at 1.90 with Coral
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