We have taken a look at the team markets ahead of the new NFL season but before the campaign kicks off at Arrowhead Stadium there is just enough time to take a look at where the value lies in the many player offerings.
We have markets priced up for all of the key statistics in the league as well as the best newcomers, comeback players, offensive and defensive players and a whole lot more. Here is where we think the value lies in each discipline.
Most Passing Yards
One of the more appealing markets for punters is the one which revolves around the quarterbacks where the most passing yards will be under the microscope. Tua Tagovailoa was the winner of this market last season with 4624 yards, 49 yards ahead of Jared Goff with Dak Prescott another 59 yards behind. Prescott could be a work in progress now that Dallas are under new coaching. Goff is a danger but I wonder if the Lions will be too dominant and he’ll end up missing a match. I’m not convinced Tua stays fit.
CJ Stroud is a joint favourite for this market but teams have more tape on him now and you wonder if that will slow him down a little bit. I’ve a feeling someone down the market could come up with the goods here in Matthew Stafford. He has Cooper Kupp back to aim passes at this season while Puka Nacua has shown that he is quality as well so the Rams have a couple of solid receiving options and we know that Stafford will stay in all game if he remains fit. He is 19/1 and that feels like a decent price if he can stay fit.
Most Receiving Yards
Another competitive market is the one for the most receiving yards, a market which Tyreeq Hill won last season, which wasn’t a surprise given that his quarterback had the most passing yards. I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes well again because he is just so fast that he can’t be covered but he is now the favourite for the market. There are a few who could go well here but I’ve always been keen on players who are clearly the number one and the main man.
There was a lot of promise in Drake London last season. He only caught 69 passes but had 905 yards in a pretty ordinary Atlanta Falcons side but you’ve got to think the passing game will come on leaps and bounds with Kirk Cousins at quarterback. There is Kyle Pitts but as a tight end I don’t expect him to see as much action as London. I would be surprised if the number one wide receiver doesn’t get the chance to catch more than 100 passes on the season and that extra 30 or so catches should yield around 450 yards and that could have him right in the mix at a more than fair price.
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Most Rushing Yards
The other big market from a player perspective is the rushing yards one, one where Christian McCaffrey was the leader last season and he is the favourite to win it again this time around. He will certainly be a contender if he doesn’t get injured but he gets through so much work in the San Francisco 49ers offense that injuries are possible with him. That makes me look elsewhere but I’m not going too far down the market.
Jonathan Taylor is the one I want to be on. I considered backing him in the comeback player of the year award but you would imagine Aaron Rodgers only has to stay upright to win that. Talking of staying upright, you would think that Indianapolis Colts will look to take as much heat off of Anthony Richardson as possible and with that in mind Taylor could be given more work to get through, especially if a game is in the bag. Taylor won this market with a crazy 1811 yards three seasons ago. Injuries have hurt him since then but if he can stay fit the 7/1 on him having the most rushing yards this season could easily land.
Defensive Player of the Year
The other market that I like is the defensive player of the year one where Micah Parsons is the favourite to win but there are too many question marks over Dallas and a new coaching setup for my liking. Myles Garrett could go well and if he does then the Cleveland Browns will fare well too so that stands hand in hand. T.J. Watt, Nick Bosa and Maxx Crosby are others towards the head of the market but I like one a little further down.
Only four players had more sacks than Danielle Hunter last season and now that the defensive end has moved over to Houston I think he could pad his statistics a little more and in a side which has a lot of eye catching talent he could easily get himself noticed. In addition to his 16.5 sacks last term, Hunter made a raft of tackles. Houston are going to be in the spotlight this season with CJ Stroud appealing so much and if the star pass rusher can take down the opposing quarterback at the right times, and there are two terrible offensive lines for him to target in the division, then Hunter could steal this at a big price.
Tips
Back M.Stafford Most Passing Yards for a 1/10 stake at 20.00 with Betfair
Back D.London Most Receiving Yards for a 1/10 stake at 23.00 with Betfair
Back J.Taylor Most Rushing Yards for a 2/10 stake at 8.00 with Betway
Back D.Hunter Defensive Player of the Year for a 1/10 stake at 41.00 with Betfred
