We have looked at The Ashes series outright ahead of it beginning on Friday morning and we have also delved into the top batter markets and now we have the chance to have a full look into what the bowlers can get up to.
These two bowling units are arguably the two best in the world with different skill sets and the Duke ball makes it a fascinating proposition to see the bowlers go up against the batters that are on show in this series.
England
I think the first thing we have to point out when we assess the bowlers in this series is that it gets played within the realms of seven weeks so it just isn’t feasible for the same bowlers to play in all five matches, certainly with regards to the seamers at least. That makes betting on the top England bowler a tough proposition but aged 40 I think we can rule Jimmy Anderson out for at least one match if not two while the fitness issues Ollie Robinson has had might count him out for a game somewhere along the line as well.
I think it all points to Stuart Broad. He might be the most durable of the England seamers so if anyone can play all five games it could well be him. He looked in excellent shape against Ireland earlier in the month and if England are going to win this series he has to control Dave Warner like he did four years ago. I think whoever offers more out of Broad and Anderson in the opening game will play most in the series and with the Nottinghamshire player slightly bigger in the betting I’ll go with him.
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Australia
I think the Australia bowling market is much easier to work out. Pat Cummins has pretty much admitted that none of his seam bowlers will play six Tests in eight weeks and that might even include himself so in terms of the seamers we are looking at them playing a maximum of four out of the five matches. That makes me pretty happy to swerve the lot, although if Scott Boland were to play four of the five he might be a danger.
I happen to think the best bet in the entire series is for Nathan Lyon to take the most wickets for Australia. Barring an injury he’ll play all five matches and with the extreme heat of the early UK summer he’s going to get some dry pitches to bowl on. Even if he wasn’t to get dry pitches the fact he is near guaranteed to play all five games gives him a significant advantage on the rest. England will look to go after him as well to tire the seamers out quicker so cheap wickets might come his way. Lyon took 20 wickets in his five matches four years ago and if he hits that number again he’ll be very hard to beat.
Tips
Back S.Broad Top England Series Bowler for a 2/10 stake at 4.50 with William Hill
Back him here:
Back N.Lyon Top Australia Series Bowler for a 4/10 stake at 3.60 with Betfair
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