We have had a look at the teams markets for the NFL campaign which gets underway in the early hours of Friday morning and there is still just a little bit of time to go through the popular player markets for the regular season in the hope of delivering further interest throughout the campaign.
There are three main player markets centring round most passing yards, most rushing yards and most receiving yards which we’ll get stuck into and we’re also going to give some love to the defensive players too.
Most Passing Yards
Having hit the crossbar in this market with Patrick Mahomes last season I’m looking for better this time around. I was on the Kansas City Chiefs trigger man at 33s last year but he was so good he’s no bigger than 9/2 to lead the way here. He was second to Ben Roethlisberger who has lost a huge receiving weapon in Antonio Brown so you would think Mahomes would turn the tables on him. Whether he is a good thing at 9/2 on a changing Chiefs offense remains to be seen.
Jameis Winston interests me here. Bruce Arians generally opens up the offense wherever he coaches and given that Tampa Bay Buccaneers don’t look to have the ability to stop anyone with their defence you would expect the Bucs to get into a lot of shootouts. Winston has Mike Evans and a couple of top level tight ends to aim at and Arians will doubtless bring a youngster or two through or a veteran in to help. Winston has twice thrown for more than 4,000 yards in his career and in an opened up attack he could go way beyond that and get right into the passing yards mix.
Most Receiving Yards
With that all in mind, it would make perfect sense to take Mike Evans to be the leader in the receiving yards category. He finished 153 yards behind eventual winner Julio Jones last season but his main quarterback missed five games of the campaign and Evans ended up catching 27 fewer passes than Jones. With DeSean Jackson out of the equation now you would think Evans would get those extra catches he needs to make up that 150 yards and be even more competitive here. It looks like Antonio Brown doesn’t fancy the job this year so this could easily come down to Evans and Jones. At three times the price I’m happy to be on Evans here.
I’ll also have the smallest investment in Kenny Golladay in this market too. The Detroit Lions man should be the main weapon on one side of the formation this year and should go well as a result of that. He picked up more than 1,000 yards last season from only 70 catches – the lowest number of catches for those who made 1,000 yards and when you think Julio Jones caught 43 more passes and finished 614 yards ahead of him, on a level number of catches there won’t have been much between them. You would think Golladay has more to come from him in his third season and at 40/1 he’s worth a nibble.
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Most Rushing Yards
This is a market which for the last couple of years has been all about Ezekiel Elliott and it might be that he and Saquon Barkley battle it out again here but there are one or two competitors who have the potential to improve and have their own say. One of those is Dalvin Cook who I’ve backed for the last two years but who has picked up an injury early in the campaign to snuff out his chances on both occasions when looking very good. He tempts me at 20/1 but I’ve lost faith in his health.
Joe Mixon is another interesting character. There is always an unknown about specialist offensive players when a new coach comes in and that is very much the case at Cincinnati but running back Joe Mixon was fourth in rushing yards last season despite 19, 24 and 67 rushing attempts fewer than those above him and 10 less than the player below him. There aren’t a huge amount of playmakers at the Bengals these days so if the new coach gets the ball into the hands of Mixon more often he could have his own way with this league and at 16/1 looks a fair price to lead the rushing stats.
Defensive Player of the Year
There is always plenty of talk about the big awards going to the offensive players but if there is one year that could change it might be this one. That is because there are a number of good defensive players in the league this year and with them getting some extra love we might just see them recognised in more ways than the defensive player of the year category.
The standout defensive player at the minute is Khalil Mack and I’m surprised he is 7/2 to be the defensive player of the year. Without any injuries he has the credentials to break all records with the Chicago Bears this season. Aaron Donald is respected as always but Mack is a level above even him. We should be looking back at the end of the campaign and thinking 7/2 here is a gift.
Tips
WON – Back J.Winston Most Passing Yards (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 15.00 with Coral (1/4 1-3)
Back K.Golladay Most Receiving Yards (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 41.00 with Coral (1/4 1-3)
Back them here:
Back M.Evans Most Receiving Yards (e/w) for a 2/10 stake at 13.00 with William Hill (1/4 1-3)
Back him here:
Back J.Mixon Most Rushing Yards (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 17.00 with Betfred (1/4 1-3)
Back him here:
Back K.Mack Defensive Player of the Year for a 3/10 stake at 4.50 with 888sport
Back him here:
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