The final match of the Caribbean Premier League season at Sabina Park takes place on Thursday night when the Jamaica Tallawahs go into a match they really must win when they host the St Kitts and Nevis Patriots.
It looks like a three way battle for the final play-off spot in the competition but the Jamaica Tallawahs have played plenty more matches than their rivals for that spot. St Kitts and Nevis are in a good position and another win here will see them looking cosy for a play-off berth.
It has been a wretched campaign for the Jamaica Tallawahs thus far and that needs to change for their final four matches if they are to make it through to the postseason. You would think they will need at least three wins but with their horrible net run rate it is likely that they will need to come out on top in each of their remaining games. That can at least free up their minds but you have to wonder whether they have the confidence to go on and achieve it.
We wondered whether the Tallawahs could go with their spin heavy approach which yielded their only win when they played the Guyana Amazon Warriors on Wednesday evening and we got our answer that they couldn’t so they are going to need a huge improvement with the ball if their campaign is going to take on any relevance. The amount of runs they are going for is beginning to have an effect on their batting which is just showing signs of struggling.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots
I would imagine the St Kitts and Nevis Patriots will be coming into this match full of confidence. That is because they saw off the Trinbago Knight Riders in a cracking contest last time out. The Patriots have played more matches than anyone else in the competition though so they need to keep the foot on the gas because they are not yet in a position where they are secure in terms of their place in the play-offs.
The good thing for the Patriots is the fact that some of their batsmen who were struggling earlier in the campaign look like they are coming to the boil at just the right time and with their bowling attack beginning to deliver the goods too, they shouldn’t be ruled out of the equation, assuming that they don’t run out of matches from which to get the points they need to make it through to the play-offs.
Andre Russell returned for the Jamaica Tallawahs on Wednesday night and he should go again here. You would think the tendency would be to make changes to the bowling attack but whether they’ve got any options that haven’t disappeared in the tournament remains to be seen.
After such a fine win last time out the St Kitts and Nevis Patriots could easily go in with an unchanged side although it was a surprise Usama Mir did not feature last time out and they might choose to bring him in here.
I don’t really get how the Jamaica Tallawahs are the favourites here and I’m so tempted to take the St Kitts and Nevis Patriots but when you think both sides made 240+ in the reverse meeting there is probably an element of the lottery about the match outcome, and in truth I wouldn’t back either side to defend a score on this ground.
I am going to use what we saw in that first match between the two to get stuck into a bet though. The boundaries line for this one is 42.5 which looks incredibly low. There were 69 boundaries in the reverse meeting and Warner Park isn’t a whole lot smaller than Sabina Park it has to be said. We saw the boundaries battered here on Wednesday night where even though the Tallawahs could only muster a score of 137 there were still 49 boundaries. I don’t see either of these bowling attacks stemming that so I like the over here.
WON – Back Over 42.5 boundaries for a 6/10 stake at 1.73 with William Hill
Back it here: